春季广西一次强对流过程多阶段特征及成因

Multi-stage Characteristics and Causes of a Severe Convective Process in Guangxi in Spring

  • 摘要: 利用多源资料分析2024年4月4—5日广西强对流天气的多阶段特征及成因。过程分为3个阶段:第1阶段对流发生于高空急流出口区左侧辐散、中层短波槽前的有利背景环流下。偏南越山气流造成右江河谷暖湿空气堆积,随冷空气南下的锋面系统在河谷形成低层强锋生,加之地形抬升,在河谷内触发多对流单体。桂西一带大气层结上干下湿、能量充足、垂直风切变大,促进对流单体发展形成超级单体,造成风雹天气。第2阶段高空急流、中层短波槽发展增强并向东传,高空急流入口区右侧辐散配合中层短波槽前天气尺度抬升、850 hPa切变触发桂东北高架对流。对流起始高度高,但发展高度、回波强度均不及第1阶段,同时逆温层850 hPa附近较暖,以短时强降水为主。第3阶段850 hPa低空急流、925 hPa边界层急流夜间发展并耦合形成深厚辐合,配合暖湿输送使桂东南对流发生发展。大气可降水量高,对流系统结构密实、质心较低并形成列车效应,导致天气以短时强降水为主且强于第2阶段。

     

    Abstract: Based on multi-source data, multi-stage characteristics and mechanisms involved in a severe convective process are analyzed which occurred in Guangxi on 4-5 April 2024. The process can be divided into 3 stages. The first stage is characterized by gales and hail, which occurs within the divergent background circulation on the left side of the upper jet exit area and in advance of the mid-level short-wave trough. The southerly air flows over mountains, causing warm and moist air to accumulate in the southern region of the Youjiang River Valley, which leads to strong convective instability. The frontal system moving southward, combined with the northward flow of cold air, creates stronger low-level frontogenesis in the valley. This interaction induces secondary circulation in the vertical direction due to topographic uplift, thereby triggering convection. The upper layer of the atmosphere is dry while the lower layer is wet, with sufficient unstable energy and large vertical wind shear in the western Guangxi, which promotes the development of convective cells to form supercell storms, resulting in gale and hail. The second stage is characterized by short-term heavy precipitation, influenced by the dynamic forces of the middle and upper-level systems. The upper-level jet and mid-level shortwave trough develop and propagate eastward. The divergence on the right side of the upper-level jet entrance area, combined with the synoptic scale uplift ahead of the mid-level short-wave trough and the shear line at 850 hPa, triggers elevated convection in the northeastern Guangxi. The starting height of convection is high, but the development height and echo intensity are lower than those of the first stage, and the inversion layer around 850 hPa is warmer that causes the hail particles easy to melt after falling, resulting in short-term heavy precipitation. The third stage is characterized by short-term heavy precipitation, with an intensity that surpasses that of the second stage. Both 850 hPa low-level jet and 925 hPa boundary jet develop at night, leading to significant deep convergence. The warm and humid transport significantly enhances thermal conditions in southeast Guangxi. The convective system develops in the exit region of 850 hPa low-level jet, at the junction of the south-north wind in 925 hPa boundary jet, and in areas of higher terrain. Due to high levels of precipitable water, the dense convective system structure with the low mass center and the convective system train effect, the weather is dominated by short-term heavy precipitation and stronger than that observed in the second stage.

     

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