新冠病毒爆发对全球本底大气地表臭氧的影响

Impact of COVID-19 Lockdown on Surface Ozone in the Global Background Atmosphere

  • 摘要: 通过分析世界气象组织全球大气观测计划中全球观测站的地表平均臭氧(O3)体积混合比水平及变化趋势,对比新冠疫情发生前后地表O3体积混合比差异,分析应对新冠疫情措施对全球观测站地表O3体积混合比的影响。结果表明:2010—2019年全球偏远地区背景大气地表O3体积混合比变化较为平缓,2019年后北半球地区地表O3体积混合比下降趋势明显。南半球O3体积混合比变化不明显,多项式拟合显示2020年南半球偏远地区各站地表O3体积混合比下降趋势不明显。赤道及附近地区除受季风影响的全球观测站外,地表O3体积混合比年际变化较小。2020年地表O3体积混合比与2010—2019年相比呈轻微减小态势,但由于导致O3体积混合比波动的因素复杂且赤道地区观测站数量十分有限,其总体减小原因尚不能确定。

     

    Abstract: Surface ozone (O3) is regarded as a ubiquitous pollutant in the atmosphere, posing significant threats to human health, as well as to plants and crops. The outbreak of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) at the end of 2019 and its rapid spreads in early 2020 and results in significant changes to human activities and pollutant emissions, which have notable impacts on the global atmospheric environment. Among these impacts, concentrations of O3 precursors, such as nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), undergo significant changes during the pandemic, resulting in fluctuations in global O3 concentration levels. Data from global stations participating in World Meteorological Organization’s Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) Program are used to analyze the surface mean O3 concentration levels. Trends in background atmospheric surface O3 concentrations at remote stations worldwide are examined, and a comparative analysis of surface O3 concentrations before and after the pandemic is conducted to assess the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on surface O3 concentrations at global stations. It indicates that background atmospheric surface O3 concentrations in remote regions globally exhibit a relatively stable trend from 2010 to 2019, with a significant decline observed after 2019. Specifically, in mid-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, surface O3 concentrations at global observation stations in remote areas are found to be higher in spring and summer, while lower in autumn and winter. Conversely, stations located in mid-high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere exhibit significantly less fluctuation in surface O3 concentrations compared to those in the Northern Hemisphere, with trends remaining largely stable. Notably, surface O3 concentrations at observation stations in remote areas of the Southern Hemisphere peak between June and September. Due to anthropogenic and climatic factors, the Southern Hemisphere’s O3 concentrations are only minimally affected by the reduction in pollutant emissions, including nitrogen oxides, resulting from COVID-19 lockdown polynomial fitting analysis indicates that surface O3 concentrations at monitoring stations in remote areas of the Southern Hemisphere do not exhibit a significant downward trend in 2020. In equatorial and adjacent regions, excluding global stations affected by monsoons, surface O3 concentrations show minimal annual variation. When comparing surface O3 concentrations from 2020 to those recorded between 2010 and 2019, a slight decrease is observed. However, due to the complexity of factors contributing to O3 concentration fluctuations and the limited number of monitoring stations in equatorial regions, the overall causes for this decrease remain uncertain. The study provides insights into the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on global surface O3 concentrations and underscores the necessity for further research to enhance our understanding of factors influencing O3 levels across various regions of the world.

     

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