Abstract:
The meteorological drought composite index (
IC) is recommended as an effective operational drought monitoring index from National Standard and has been applied by National Climate Center to monitor drought conditions across the whole country in recent years. However, uncontinurous enhancement of drought is frequently observed in the development of drought process at many stations, where uncontinurous enhancement of drought means that daily change is greater than or equal to one drought degree (-0.6) and the
IC value is equal to or less than 0.6 a day before. In order to optimize
IC, modified standard precipitation index (
Z65) by weighted average precipitation (
WAP) is introduced. Due to different weighted coefficients of daily precipitation, modified
IC(
ICW) can decrease uncontinurous enhancement of drought to the most extent. Taking Southwest China as an example, daily
IC and
ICW(modified
IC) from 1 January 1961 to 10 May 2010 is calculated, and the differences between
IC and
ICW in frequency of every drought degree and monthly variability of drought frequency are analyzed. Since formula and value range of
ICW are both similar to
IC, the same drought degree is adopted. It indicates that there is no significant difference between
ICW and
IC in frequency of drought. Moreover, the annual intensity of drought from 1961 to 2009 is also analyzed. The results indicate
ICW is also similar to
IC very much and there is no significant trend of annual intensity. Furthermore, as stable index of drought, uncontinurous enhancement of drought of
IC and
ICW are counted. It shows that
ICW has less uncontinurous enhancement of drought than
IC at all four stations, so
ICW has improved the stability of drought according to different weighted coefficients of daily precipitation. Take soil moisture observed on 8, 18 and 28 as representative, the correlation between
IC,
ICW and soil moisture is analyzed from January 1993 to May 2010. The results show that
ICW has greater correlation coefficients with soil moisture of 10 cm at all stations than
IC, and
ICW has greater correlation coefficients with soil moisture of 20 cm at three stations than
IC, showing that
ICW is more consistent with soil moisture.Above all, the analysis shows that
ICW is close to the characteristics of actual drought and suitable for daily drought monitoring in Southwest China. However, there is still some uncontinurous enhancement of drought existing in
ICW due to great uncontinuous change of
M30.