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基于不同资料的影响南海热带气旋环流背景对比

邢彩盈 吴胜安 朱晶晶

邢彩盈, 吴胜安, 朱晶晶. 基于不同资料的影响南海热带气旋环流背景对比. 应用气象学报, 2023, 34(2): 179-192. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20230205..
引用本文: 邢彩盈, 吴胜安, 朱晶晶. 基于不同资料的影响南海热带气旋环流背景对比. 应用气象学报, 2023, 34(2): 179-192. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20230205.
Xing Caiying, Wu Sheng'an, Zhu Jingjing. Comparison on the circulation background of tropical cyclone affecting the South China Sea based upon different reanalysis datasets. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2023, 34(2): 179-192. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20230205.
Citation: Xing Caiying, Wu Sheng'an, Zhu Jingjing. Comparison on the circulation background of tropical cyclone affecting the South China Sea based upon different reanalysis datasets. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2023, 34(2): 179-192. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20230205.

基于不同资料的影响南海热带气旋环流背景对比

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20230205
资助项目: 

海南省气象局技术提升项目 hnqxSJ202106

国家自然科学基金项目 41765005

详细信息
    通信作者:

    邢彩盈, 邮箱:18876777858@163.com

Comparison on the Circulation Background of Tropical Cyclone Affecting the South China Sea Based upon Different Reanalysis Datasets

  • 摘要: 利用1981—2020年中国热带气旋最佳路径数据集、中国大气再分析资料(CMA-RA)、欧洲中期天气预报中心ERA5及美国NCEP/NCAR再分析资料(NCEP-Ⅰ),对比不同资料在表征影响南海热带气旋活动环流背景的能力,探讨CMA-RA的适用性。结果表明:不同资料基本刻画出与热带气旋活动密切相关的环流特征,包括南方涛动、菲律宾至南海低层纬向风、热带低层纬向风反向分布型、菲律宾至南海中东部低层涡度、热带西太平洋垂直风切变及南海至菲律宾以东海域中层湿度。它们对南方涛动、关键区纬向风和中层湿度的刻画较相似,CMA-RA和ERA5对南方涛动、低层纬向风及其与热带气旋关系的描述一致性高,较NCEP-Ⅰ密切,但低层经向风、关键物理量差异较大。对极端年环流具有相似的表现能力,但异常程度存在差异,海平面气压、低层纬向风高度一致,以CMA-RA与ERA5最接近;中层湿度CMA-RA与ERA5接近,较NCEP-Ⅰ偏小;关键物理量差异较大。CMA-RA对南海热带气旋环流的刻画具有与ERA5和NCEP-Ⅰ相当的性能,并与ERA5一致性较高,可为相关工作提供可替换的再分析资料集。
  • 图  1  南海热带气旋影响区域

    Fig. 1  Impact region of tropical cyclone in the South China Sea

    图  2  不同资料7—10月海平面气压与南海热带气旋频数相关场对比

    (填色表示达到0.05显著性水平,下同)

    Fig. 2  Comparison of different datasets in correlations between sea level pressure and tropical cyclone frequency of the South China Sea from Jul to Oct

    (the shaded denotes passing the test of 0.05 level, the same hereinafter)

    图  3  不同资料7—10月850 hPa纬向风场、850 hPa经向风场与南海热带气旋频数相关场对比

    Fig. 3  Comparison of different datasets in correlations of 850 hPa zonal wind, 850 hPa meridional wind to tropical cyclone frequency of the South China Sea from Jul to Oct

    图  4  不同资料7—10月850 hPa相对涡度场、垂直风切变场与南海热带气旋频数相关场对比

    Fig. 4  Comparison of different datasets in correlations of 850 hPa relative vorticity, vertical wind shear to tropical cyclone frequency of the South China Sea from Jul to Oct

    图  5  不同资料7—10月600 hPa相对湿度场与南海热带气旋频数相关场的对比

    Fig. 5  Comparison of different datasets in correlations between 600 hPa relative humidity and tropical cyclone frequency of the South China Sea from Jul to Oct

    图  6  不同资料7—10月南海热带气旋频数极端年份的海平面气压差值场

    Fig. 6  Sea level pressure difference between different datasets in extreme tropical cyclone frequency years of the South China Sea from Jul to Oct

    图  7  图 6,但为850 hPa风场

    (箭头为风矢量,填色为风速差值)

    Fig. 7  The same as in Fig 6, but for 850 hPa wind

    (the arrow denotes wind vector, the shaded denotes wind speed difference)

    图  8  不同资料2004年7—10月850 hPa相对涡度差值场和垂直风切变差值场

    Fig. 8  850 hPa relative vorticity difference and vertical wind shear difference between different datasets from Jul to Oct in 2004

    图  9  图 6,但为600 hPa相对湿度

    Fig. 9  The same as in Fig. 6, but for 600 hPa relative humidity

    表  1  不同资料7—10月热带地区850 hPa纬向风距平场EOF前两个模态方差贡献率(单位:%)

    Table  1  Comparison of different datasets in variance contributions of the first two EOF modes of 850 hPa zonal wind anomaly in tropical region from Jul to Oct (unit:%)

    模态 CMA-RA ERA5 NCEP-Ⅰ
    EOF1 60.9 61.8 52.8
    EOF2 10.2 10.3 13.3
    下载: 导出CSV
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