ANALYSIS ON THE SENSITIVITY OF RUNOFF IN YELLOW RIVER TO CLIMATE CHANGE

Effects of climate change on runoff in Yellow River are studied with hypothetical scenarios using the monthly hydrological model. The results show that runoff is less sensitive to temperature change but more sensitive to precipitation change, and runoff in the middle reaches is more sensitive to climate change than that in upper reaches. While temperature increases 1℃, runoff in Yellow River decreases 5%; while precipitation changes 10%, runoff changes about 17%.