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Verification of Quantitative Forecasts for Storm Rainfall During the Period of Changjiang-Huaihe Mei–yu in 1991
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摘要: 利用Threat Score方法，对1991年6月12—15日，6月29日—7月12日江淮持续暴雨的定量预报进行了检验。结果表明，对于大雨和暴雨预报，目前主观预报优于客观预报。数值预报在降雨定量预报的某些方面有了一定突破。Abstract: Threat Score is employed to verify the quantitative forecasts for the storm rainfall in the Changjiang-Huaihe region in the periods of June 12―15 and June 29―July 12,1991. The results suggest that the subjective forecast for the heavy rain and torrential rain is better than the objective ones; numerical prediction has achieved significant improvement in some aspects of forecasting precipitation
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