The Experiment of Regional Four-dimensional Data Assimilation Scheme
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摘要: 根据国家气象中心有限区分析预报系统的基本方案,设计一个以6小时为周期的间歇区域资料四维同化方案,对我国的两次暴雨过程进行两种不同粗细水平分辨率的资料四维同化和短期模式预报的试验。结果表明,由同化方案初值获得的短期预报明显好于LAFS方案的预报结果,高分辨率同化方案对预报的改进更明显。Abstract: A regional four-dimensional intermittent data assimilation scheme has been developed by using the analysis scheme, initialization scheme and model scheme of limited area analysis and forecast system (LAFS) in NMC in China. Some forecast experiments of heavy rains in China in 1992 are made by using the assimilation scheme. The experiment results show that the skill of forecast both weather system and rainfall from the assimilation initial values, especially from those of fine-mesh scheme, is much better than the skill of control forecast based on LAFS scheme.
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