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A Study of Urban and Country Fire Forecasting Model
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摘要: 文章探讨了建立火险预报模式的必要性和可行性，分析了1981～1990年辽宁省火灾次数与风速、月降水量和相对湿度的关系。并从概念模式出发，讨论了与火险有关的逐因子，建立了定量的火险预报模式，试用效果较好。Abstract: The necessity and feasibility of developing a fire forecasting model are studied at first. Then, the relationship between the fire occurrences and wind velocity, monthly precipitation and relative humidity in liaoning Province during 1981~1990 is analyzed. From conceptual model, the factors related to fires are investigated. Finally, the quantitative fire forecasting model is developed. The forecasting results are satisfactory.
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Key words:
- urban and country fires;
- Quantity;
- Forecasting model
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