EOF Model for Drought Prediction in Northwest China
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摘要: 该文在经验正交函数(EOF)分析的基础上,设计了一种适合于西北地区干旱预测的EOF模型,利用均生函数法、多元回归法和典型相关法对EOF模型进行了有效的预测试验,结果表明这种模型对西北地区的干旱有一定的预报能力。Abstract: Based on empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, an EOF model suitable for drought prediction in Northwest China was designed. Forecast experiment based on EOF model was carried out using the mean generating function method, multiple regression method and canonical correlation analysis (CCA) method. The results show that there is a specified predictive capability for the drought in Northwest China.
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Key words:
- Northwest China;
- Drought prediction;
- EOF model
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