华北地区一次黄河气旋发生发展时所引起的暴雨诊断分析
Diagnostic Analysis of a Heavy Rain Event in North China Caused by the Development of Yellow River Cyclone
-
摘要: 利用NCEP/NCAR的再分析资料和GMS红外黑体亮度温度 (TBB) 资料等, 对1991年6月9—11日的一次黄河气旋暴雨过程进行了诊断分析。结果表明:黄河气旋的发生发展是大气斜压性强烈发展的结果, 强的高空辐散与正涡度平流共同作用形成了黄河气旋, 对流层低层的暖平流促进了黄河气旋的进一步发展, 并对其移动方向有引导作用; 暴雨出现在黄河气旋的初生、发展阶段, 产生于气旋前部暖区的盾状云系中; 暴雨的水汽有西南和东南两个来源, 其中西南水汽通量大于东南; 暴雨区上空大气具有很强的对流不稳定性, 中尺度对流云团的发生发展, 造成了气旋降水分布的不均匀性和强降水中心; 降水造成的凝结潜热释放对气旋的发展有正反馈作用。Abstract: Yellow River Cyclone is one of the important weather systems that could produce heavy rain in North China. A heavy rain event occurred from 9 to 11 June 1991 in North China and caused by the development of a Yellow River Cyclone is studied in detail through a combined analysis of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset, the temperature of black body (TBB) data of Geostationary Meteorological Satellite (GMS) and radiosonde data. It is found that the occurrence and development of Yellow River Cyclone are results of intense development of atmospheric baroclinicity not usual in summer season. The joint effects of strong divergence and positive advection of vorticity at high level trigger the Yellow River Cyclone. The warm advection at low-level in the troposphere facilitates the Cyclone's development and leads it to move. The heavy rain region is under the right side of the exit of the high level jet. In the south of the region, from 18:00 (UTC) June 9, low level jet (LLJ) with wind speed greater than 14 m·s-1 occurs at 850 hPa and transports water vapor to it. Heavy rain occurs at early stage of the Yellow River Cyclone and mainly comes from the shield clouds of the warm section of the cyclone. There are two transportation paths of water vapor in this heavy rain event: one is from southwest, the other is from southeast. And the water vapor flux from southwest is larger. The west extension and intensify of the west Pacific subtropical high help the transportation of water vapor to North China along the LLJ. The total precipitable water vapor increases obviously in North China before the occurrence of heavy rain. It is also found that the contours of relative humidity and potential temperature are dense and decrease with height over heavy rain region. The atmosphere is of intensive convective instability. From the cross sections of vorticity and vertical velocity, it is found that an obvious positive vorticity is transferred from high level vortex to the Yellow River Cyclone. Strong convergence of water vapor flux and ascending motion are found in the Cyclone, and the ascending velocity ahead of the Cyclone is larger than the subsidence velocity behind the Cyclone. Therefore, the vertical circulation is asymmetry, which improves the rapid growing of raindrops. As it is found in other studies of Yellow River Cyclone, there are meso-β-scale convective systems developping and moving along the southwest low level jet in this case. These meso-scale convective systems (MCS) in the frontal clouds cause the inhomogeneous of the precipitation and produces intensive precipitation centers. And the release of latent heat caused by precipitation has positive feed back to the development of the Cyclone.
-
Key words:
- Yellow River Cyclone;
- heavy rain;
- meso-scale convective system
-
图 1 1991年6月10日00:00 (a), 10日12:00 (c), 11日00:00 (e) 高空形势分布和10日00:00 (b), 10日12:00 (d), 11日00:00 (f) 地面天气图
(高空形势图中, 阴影区为500 hPa 正涡度平流≥2, 单位: 10-8s-2 ; 粗实线为500 hPa 等高线, 单位: dagpm ; 虚线为500 hPa 等温线, 单位: ℃; 矢量为200 hPa 风速≥35 m·s-1, 表示高空急流; 细实线为200 hPa 风速大于 40 m·s-1的等风速线, 表示高空急流核; 风标为850 hPa 风速≥12 m·s-1, 表示低空急流。 地面图中, 实线为海平面气压, 单位: hPa, 风场高度为 σ=0.995)
-
[1] 陶诗言.中国之暴雨.北京:气象出版社, 1980. [2] 田生春, 刘苏红.一次快速发展气旋的诊断分析.气象学报, 1988, 46(3): 285-293. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB198803004.htm [3] 蒋尚城.8.26黄河气旋暴雨分析.科学通报, 1990, 35(19):1481-1483. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXTB199019012.htm [4] 李修芳.影响华北地区的黄河气旋过程分析.气象, 1997, 23(1): 17-22. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX701.002.htm [5] 张杰英, 杨梅玉, 姜达雍.考虑大尺度凝结加热的数值模拟试验.应用气象学报, 1987, 2(2): 123-132. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19870217&flag=1 [6] 董立清.每月天气 (1991年6月).气象, 1991, 17(9): 58-61. [7] 丁一汇, 朱彤.陆地爆发性气旋发展的动力学分析和数值模拟.中国科学 (B辑), 1993, 23(11): 1226-1232. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JBXK199311015.htm [8] Hoskins I D, Davies H C.A new look at the ω equation.Quart J Roy Meteor Soc, 1978, 104: 31-38. doi: 10.1256/smsqj.43902 [9] 岳彩军, 寿绍文, 董美莹.定量分析几种Q矢量.应用气象学报, 2003, 14(1): 39-48. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=20030105&flag=1 [10] 张兴旺.湿Q矢量表达式及其应用.气象, 1998, 24(8): 3-7. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX808.000.htm [11] Doswell C A, Brooks H E, Maddox R A.Flash flood forecasting: an ingredients-based methodology.Wea Forecasting, 1996, 11:560-581. doi: 10.1175/1520-0434(1996)011<0560:FFFAIB>2.0.CO;2