上海“0185”特大暴雨的中尺度强对流系统活动特征及其环流背景的分析研究
Meso-scale and Small-scale Circulation Characteristics Analysis of "0185" Heavy Rainfall in Shanghai
-
摘要: 通过对常规观测资料、自动站资料、GMS-5卫星云图和多普勒雷达等气象资料分析发现, 2001年8月热带低压在福建北部登陆, 途经江苏无锡、常熟时, 其南侧西南气流与沪浙沿海的东南风形成切变线。受源源不断地水汽输送和切变线动力抬升作用, 热带低压南侧不断产生β-中尺度强对流回波带, 它们形成后随热带低压气旋性环流向东移动, 在上海城区附近辐合形成β-中尺度强对流回波群, 在卫星云图上呈现出以此为核心的中尺度对流辐合体 (MCC)。分析表明, 受水汽凝结、潜热释放这种正反馈机制作用, 在热带低压东南侧大尺度切变线中段北侧派生出一个独立、完整的近地面β-中尺度的气旋性环流, 它就是MCC的内核, 直接造成了上海“ 0185”特大暴雨的发生。Abstract: Heavy rainfall happens on August 5, 2001 in Shanghai, especially in the central urban area with 75.4 mm of 1-hour maximum precipitation and 264 mm of 12-hour cumulated precipitation at Xujiahui. Analyses on the conventional observations, automatic stations data, GMS-5 satellite cloud images and Doppler radar data show that it is closely related with a mesoscale convective compound (MCC) in Shanghai. The number 9 tropical depression moves slowly right to the north of Shanghai because of the adjustment of the long-wave system in the middle latitude and suddenly weakening of the northwest Pacific subtropical high. The MCC is triggered in the shear line between southwesterly current in the southeast of the tropical depression and the strong southeasterly current in Shanghai and Zhejiang, when the tropical depression moves to the north of the Taihu Lake.A slowly eastward-moving circle zone without any echo is found near Wuxi at the night of August 5 in the base reflectivity products of Doppler radar. Some spiral echo bands rotate counterclockwise around the circle zone in the east. The spiral echo bands in the southeast moves to Shanghai under the effect of the shear line and the converge counterclockwise to form a strong echo group of several coordinate meso-β-scale echoes in the central urban zone of Shanghai. This strong echo group in radar products is correspondent to the mesoscale convective cloud above Shanghai, which forms in the northwest of Shanghai and Suzhou initially, and begins to weaken soon after its formation. Subsequently the mesoscale convective cloud develops strongly to be a typical mesoscale convective compound (MCC) about 102600 km2 in the northwest of Shanghai. Temperature of the cloud top bright core reaches -81 ℃, and the convective clouds with top temperature of -63 ℃ cover the whole of Shanghai.A couple of positive and negative speed centers about -20 and 20 m/s respectively are located in the central urban zone of Shanghai in the radial speed products of Doppler radar. The circle zone without echo in Wuxi is corresponding to the surface convergent center in the stream field, which shows that the circle zone is just the tropical low center. The strong echo group rotating counterclockwise in the central urban zone in Shanghai and the couple of speed centers are also corresponding to another meso-β-scale surface convergent center in Shanghai, which is a meso-β-scale convergent system, named mesoscale cyclone, and is located in the core of the MCC.The meso-β-scale cyclone circulation, as well as the process of its formation and development in the core of the MCC leading to the heavy rainfall at August 5, 2001 in Shanghai, is testified through analyses of automatic weather stations data and Doppler radar data.
-
Key words:
- tropical low;
- spiral echo band;
- MCC;
- meso-cyclone
-
图 2 2001年8月5日16:48—6日00:17上海WSR-88D雷达基本反射率因子素描图
(a) 5日16:48, (b) 5日18:44, (c) 5日20:00, (d) 5日22:14, (e) 5日23:36, (f) 6日00:17 (图中标“D”的圆形区域表示热带低压位置, , , , , 为强对流回波编号, 双线包围淡阴影区表示基本反射率因子≥25 dBz区域, 单线包围重阴影区表示基本反射率因子≥40 dBz的区域, 仰角: 0.5°, 距离每圈56 km)
Fig. 2 Base reflectivity from Shanghai WSR-88D radar at (a) 16:48, (b) 18:44, (c) 20:00, (d) 22:14, (e) 23:36 on August 5 and (f) 00:17 on August 6, 2001
("D" denotes tropical depression, , , , and denote convective echo band number, the light shading denotes the base reflectivity lager than 25 dBz, and the dark shading denotes the base reflectivity lager than 40 dBz)
图 3 2001年8月5—6日上海地面小尺度流场和雷达基本反射率因子图
(a) 5日22:00, (b) 5日23:00, (c) 5日23:30, (d) 6日00:00 (图中细实线为流线, 粗实线为切变线, 西北地区“D”为热带低压中心, 上海中心城区“C”为MCC内核中的β-中尺度气旋性辐合环流中心, 阴影区为流场对应时刻≥40 dBz的反射率因子区域)
Fig. 3 Surface stream field and radar base reflectivity in Shanghai at (a) 22:00, (b) 23:00, (c) 23:30 of August 5 and (d) 00:00 of August 6, 2001
(thin and thick solid lines denote stream line and shear line respectively, the "D" and "C" denote the tropical depression and the meso-β scale cyclonic convergent center in MCC respectively, the shading denotes the base reflectivity lager than 40 dBz)
图 4 2001年8月5日23:59和6日00:05上海多普勒雷达速度图
(a) 5日23:59, 05仰角径向速度图,(b) 5日23:59, 2.4°仰角风暴相对速度图,(c) 6日00:05, 3.4°仰角风暴相对速度图 (位于西北部位的圆体和圆心“D”示意热带低压位置,上海中心城区圆体示意正负速度中心的β-中尺度气旋性辐合环流中心,距离每圈56 km)
Fig. 4 Radial velocity from Shanghai WSR—88D radar at (a) elevation of 0.5° (b) elevation of 2.4° at 23:59 of August 5 and (c) elevation of 3.4° at 00:05 of August 6, 2001
(the circle around "D" denotes the tropical low, another little circle in Shanghai denotes meso-β scale cyclonic convergent center and boundary of negative and positive radar radial velcxity at the range of 56 km)
-
[1] 杨国祥, 何齐强, 陆汉城.中尺度气象学.北京:气象出版社, 1991: 122. [2] 姚祖庆.上海特大暴雨过程天气形势分析.气象, 2002, 28 (1): 26-29. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200201005.htm [3] 陈永林. 上海8. 5特大暴雨特征分析. "0108"连续性暴雨学术研讨会论文集. 上海: 上海市气象局, 2001: 57-65. [4] 陈永林.上海"0185"特大暴雨MCC形成条件分析.气象, 2002, 28 (1): 30-33. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200201006.htm [5] 杨克明, 张守峰, 张建忠. "0185"上海特大暴雨成因分析.气象, 2004, 30 (3): 34-38. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200403005.htm [6] 漆梁波.特大暴雨非常规资料的初步分析.气象, 2002, 28 (1): 34-38. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200201007.htm [7] 曹晓岗. "0185"特大暴雨的诊断分析.气象, 2002, 28 (1): 21-25. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200201004.htm [8] 林永辉, 布和朝鲁. 2001年8月初上海强暴雨中尺度对流系统的数值模拟研究.气象学报, 2003: 61 (2): 196-203. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB200302004.htm [9] 齐琳琳, 赵思雄.一次热带低压引发上海特大暴雨过程的中尺度系统分析.大气科学, 2004, 28 (2): 254-269. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK200402007.htm [10] 齐琳琳, 赵思雄.利用非常规观测资料对上海特大暴雨过程的模拟研究.气候与环境研究, 2003, 8 (4): 417-435. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200304003.htm [11] 李崇银.环境流场对台风发生发展的影响.气象学报, 1983, 41(3):275-284. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB198303002.htm