[1]
|
IPCC.IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2013.
|
[2]
|
IPCC.Climate Change 2014:Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2014.
|
[3]
|
IPCC WG II.The Contribution to the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (WGII AR5).Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2014.
|
[4]
|
IPCC.Climate Change 2007:Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007:79-132.
|
[5]
|
《气候变化国家评估报告》编写委员会.气候变化国家评估报告.北京:科学出版社, 2007:177-312.
|
[6]
|
《第二次气候变化国家评估报告》编写委员会.第二次气候变化国家评估报告.北京:科学出版社, 2011:195-344.
|
[7]
|
矫梅燕, 周广胜, 陈振林.农业应对气候变化蓝皮书:气候变化对中国农业影响评估报告 (NO.1).北京:社会科学文献出版社, 2014.
|
[8]
|
中国·国家适应气候变化战略. 2013. http://www.gov.cn/gzdt/att/att/site1/20131209/001e3741a2cc140f6a8701.pdf.
|
[9]
|
IPCC.Climate Change 2001:Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability.Contribution of Working Group Ⅱ to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2001.
|
[10]
|
UNFCCC. Bali Action Plan (Decision 1/CP.13).2007.http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2007/cop13/eng/06a01.pdf#page-3.
|
[11]
|
苏伟, 吕学都, 孙国顺.未来联合国气候变化谈判的核心内容及前景展望:"巴厘行动计划"解读.气候变化研究进展, 2008, 4(1):57-60. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH200801013.htm
|
[12]
|
UNFCCC.Copenhagen accord (Decision 2/CP15).2009, http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2009/cop15/eng/11a01.pdf#page=4.
|
[13]
|
UNFCCC.The Cancun Agreements (Decision 1/CP16):Outcome of the Work of the ad Hoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action Under the Convention.2010. http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2010/cop16/eng/07a01.pdf#page=2.
|
[14]
|
UNFCCC.National adaption plans (Decision 5/CP17).2011. http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2011/cop17/eng/09a01.pdf.
|
[15]
|
UNFCCC.National adaption plans (Decision 12/CP18).2012. http://unfccc.int/files/meetings/doha_nov/2012/decisions/application/pdf/cop18_naps.pdf.
|
[16]
|
UNFCCC.Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage Associated with Climatic Change Impacts (Decision 2/CP19).2014. http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2013/cop19/eng/10a01.pdf#page=6.
|
[17]
|
李玉娥, 马欣, 何霄嘉.《巴厘行动计划》以来适应气候变化谈判进展及未来需求分析.气候变化研究进展, 2014, 10(2):135-141. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH201402009.htm
|
[18]
|
吴绍洪, 黄季炕, 刘燕华, 等.气候变化对中国的影响利弊.中国人口·资源与环境, 2014, 24(1):7-13. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGRZ201401002.htm
|
[19]
|
Warren R, Arnell N, Nicholls R, et al.Understanding the Regional Impacts of Climate Change, Research Report Prepared for the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change.Research Working Paper No.90 Tyndall Centre for Climate Change, Norwich.2006. http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/content/understanding-regional-impacts-climate-change-research-report-prepared-stern-review-economic
|
[20]
|
Parry M L, Carter T R, Knoijin N T, et al.The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture.1988.
|
[21]
|
Herrero M, Thornton P K, Notenbaert A M, et al.Smart investments in sustainable food production:Revisiting mixed crop-livestock systems.Science, 2010, 327:822-825. doi: 10.1126/science.1183725
|
[22]
|
中华人民共和国国务院办公厅. 中国应对气候变化国家方案[国发 (2007)17号]. 2007.
|
[23]
|
中华人民共和国国务院新闻办公室. 中国应对气候变化的政策与行动. 2008. [2009-08-28]. http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2008-10/29/content_1134378.htm.
|
[24]
|
周广胜, 许振柱, 王玉辉.全球变化的生态系统适应性.地球科学进展, 2004, 19(4):642-649. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DXJZ200404023.htm
|
[25]
|
王宗明, 于磊, 张柏, 等.过去50年吉林玉米带玉米种植面积时空变化及其成因分析.地理科学, 2006, 26:299-305. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0690.2006.03.007
|
[26]
|
陶建平, 李翠霞.两湖平原种植制度调整与农业避洪减灾策略.农业现代化研究, 2002, 23:26-29. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0275.2002.01.007
|
[27]
|
邓振镛, 张强, 韩永翔, 等.甘肃省农业种植结构影响因素调整原则探讨.干旱地区农业研究, 2006, 24:126-129. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:1000-7601.2006.03.027
|
[28]
|
Liu Y, Wang E, Yang X, et al.Contributions of climatic and crop varietal changes to crop production in the North China Plain, since 1980s.Global Change Biology, 2009, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02077.x.
|
[29]
|
荣云鹏, 朱保美, 韩贵香, 等.气温变化对鲁西北冬小麦最佳适播期的影响.气象, 2007, 33(10):110-113. doi: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2007.10.016
|
[30]
|
程海霞, 宋军芳, 帅克杰, 等.气温变化对晋城市冬小麦适宜播种期的影响.安徽农业科学, 2009, 37:552-553. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2009.02.050
|
[31]
|
周广胜, 何奇瑾, 殷晓洁.中国植被/陆地生态系统对气候变化的适应性与脆弱性.北京:气象出版社, 2015.
|
[32]
|
吕宪国.全球气候变化下我国典型脆弱生态系统的适应技术.北京:科学出版社, 2015.
|
[33]
|
王培娟, 韩丽娟, 周广胜, 等.气候变暖对东北三省春玉米布局的可能影响及其应对策略.自然资源学报, 2015, 30(8):1343-1355. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.08.009
|
[34]
|
王雅琼, 马世铭.中国区域农业适应气候变化技术选择.中国农业气象, 2009, 30(增刊Ⅰ):51-56. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGNY2009S1011.htm
|
[35]
|
李阔, 何霄嘉, 许吟隆, 等.中国适应气候变化技术分类研究.中国人口·资源与环境, 2016, 26(2):18-26. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGRZ201602003.htm
|
[36]
|
《气候变化国家评估报告》编写委员会.气候变化国家评估报告.北京:科学出版社, 2007:177-305.
|
[37]
|
Xiong W, Holman I, Lin E D, et al.Future cereal production in China:The interaction of climate change, water availability and social-economic scenarios.Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions, 2009, 19(1):34-44. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.10.006
|
[38]
|
熊伟, 林而达, 蒋金荷, 等.中国粮食生产的综合影响因素分析.地理学报, 2010, 65(4):397-406. doi: 10.11821/xb201004002
|
[39]
|
姜彤, 李修仓, 巢清尘, 等.《气候变化2014:影响、适应和脆弱性》的主要结论和新认知.气候变化研究进展, 2014, 10(3):157-166. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH201403001.htm
|
[40]
|
郑大玮, 李茂松, 霍治国.农业灾害与减灾对策.北京:中国农业大学出版社, 2013.
|