The Persistent Impact of Winter Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian Surface Air Temperature

Dong Shi; Xiao Ziniu

doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20150404

Vol.26, NO.4, 2015

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2015 > 26(4): 422-431

Dong Shi, Xiao Ziniu. The persistent impact of winter arctic oscillation on the East Asian surface air temperature. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2015, 26(4): 422-431. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150404.

Citation:

Dong Shi, Xiao Ziniu. The persistent impact of winter arctic oscillation on the East Asian surface air temperature. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2015, 26(4): 422-431. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150404.

Dong Shi, Xiao Ziniu. The persistent impact of winter arctic oscillation on the East Asian surface air temperature. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2015, 26(4): 422-431. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150404.

Citation:

Dong Shi, Xiao Ziniu. The persistent impact of winter arctic oscillation on the East Asian surface air temperature. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2015, 26(4): 422-431. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150404.

PDF( 3009 KB)

The Persistent Impact of Winter Arctic Oscillation on the East Asian Surface Air Temperature

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150404

Dong Shi¹,
Xiao Ziniu^{2
,
,}

1.
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
2.
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmosphere Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029

Received Date: 2014-11-14
Rev Recd Date: 2015-03-20
Publish Date: 2015-07-31

Abstract

Abstract

A statistical research of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and Met Office HadISST over the period of 1948-2013 is conducted to explore the influence of the winter AO on East Asian surface air temperature. The positive phase of the winter AO is characterized by weakened East Asia deep trough as well as Siberian high, low-level southerly wind field, and weakened East Asian winter monsoon resulting in temperature rise. The contrary is the case in the negative phase of the winter AO.In high latitudes, atmospheric variability in winter is very large. With probing deeply into the relationship between monthly winter AO and East Asian surface air temperature, it is found that the impact of AO in January and February can last 2 months or longer, respectively. And the impact will almost disappear in June. The effect of winter AO itself on monthly scale is not consistent. AO can only last no more than two months after self-correlation analysis. But though a large amount of ocean heat content, sea change is slow and persistent. Ocean can store abnormal information of atmosphere, and then acting on atmosphere. For the positive phase of AO, the sea surface temperature (SST) in Western Pacific and East Asian surface temperature are simultaneously abnormally high, and anomalous northeast trades lead to SST anomalies in Western Pacific, making Western Pacific carry AO signals for more than 4 months.With effects of Western Pacific, AO signals are passed continuously into East Asia. Above all, effects of SST in Western Pacific are of vital importance for the persistent impact of Arctic Oscillation on the East Asia through air-sea interaction.
- Arctic Oscillation;
- East Asian surface air temperature;
- Western Pacific sea surface temperature;
- air-sea interaction

FullText(HTML)

References(28)

Figures and Tables

图 1 1951—2013年冬季AOI与同期异常表面温度相关分布

(方框为受AO影响最显著的东亚地区，阴影区达到0.01显著性水平)

Fig. 1 Correlation between AO index and surface air temperature anomalies in winter during 1951-2013

(the box denotes the target area influenced by AO, the shaded denotes passing the test of 0.01 level)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

图 2 1951—2013年冬季AO正位相表面异常温度 (单位：K) (a)，500 hPa位势高度场 (单位：gpm) (b)，1000 hPa风场 (箭头) 和海表面气压 (等值线，单位：hPa) (c) 的异常分布及冬季AO负位相表面异常温度 (单位：K) (d)，500 hPa位势高度场 (单位：gpm) (e)，1000 hPa风场 (箭头) 和海表面气压 (等值线，单位：hPa) (f) 异常分布

(方框为受AO影响最显著的东亚地区，阴影区达到0.01显著性水平)

Fig. 2 Surface air temperature anomalies (unit:K) (a), 500 hPa geopotential height (unit: gpm) (b), 1000 hPa wind (vectors) and sea level pressure (unit: hPa) (c) based on the positive phase of wintertime AO during 1951-2013, Fig. 2d, Fig. 2e, Fig. 2f are the same as in Fig. 2a, Fig. 2b, Fig. 2c, but for the negative phase of wintertime AO

(the shaded denotes passing the test of 0.05 level, the wind is significant at 0.05 level)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 3 The average surface air temperature anomalies in East Asia (a) and AO index (b) in winter during 1951-2013

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

图 4 1951—2013年1月AOI与1951—2013年1月 (a)、2月 (b)、3月 (c)、4月 (d) 的太平洋和大西洋海温相关分布及1951—2013年2月AOI与1951—2013年2月 (e)、3月 (f)、4月 (g)、5月 (h) 的太平洋和大西洋海温相关分布

(阴影表示达到0.01显著性水平)

Fig. 4 Correlation between AO index in Jan and Pacific-Atlantic sea surface temperature in Jan (a), Feb (b), Mar (c), Apr (d) during 1951-2013, correlation between AO index in Feb and Pacific-Atlantic sea surface temperature in Feb (e), Mar (f), Apr (g), May (h) during 1951-2013

(the shaded denotes passing the test of 0.01 level)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

图 5 1951—2013年1月AO正位相 (a)、负位相 (b) 1000 hPa异常风速，1951—2013年2月AO正位相 (c)、负位相 (d) 1000 hPa异常风速

(风场达到0.05显著性水平)

Fig. 5 1000 hPa wind anomalies based on positive (a) and negative (b) phases of AO in Jan during 1951-2013 and 1000 hPa wind anomalies based on positive (c) and negative (d) phases of AO in Feb during 1951-2013

(the wind is significant at 0.05 level)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

图 6 1951—2013年1月WPSST与1月 (a)、2月 (b)、3月 (c)、4月 (d) 的东亚异常表面温度相关分布及1951—2013年2月WPSST与2月 (e)、3月 (f)、4月 (g)、5月 (h) 的东亚异常表面温度相关分布

(方框为受AO影响最显著的东亚地区，深色和浅色阴影分别表示达到0.01和0.05显著性水平的正相关区域)

Fig. 6 Correlation between WPSST in Jan and Asian surface air temperature anomalies in Jan (a), Feb (b), Mar (c), Apr (d) during 1951-2013, correlation between WPSST in Feb and Asian surface air temperature anomalies in Feb (e), Mar (f), Apr (g), May (h) during 1951-2013

(the box denotes the target area influenced by AO, heavy and light shaded areas denote the positive correlation passing the tests of 0.01 and 0.05 levels, respectively)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Table 1 AO index lagged correlations in winter during 1951-2013

时间段及物理量	1950—2012年12月AOI	1951—2013年1月AOI	1951—2013年2月AOI
1951—2013年1月AOI	0.388^**
1951—2013年2月AOI	0.100	0.367^**
1951—2013年3月AOI	0.054	0.096	0.280^*
1951—2013年4月AOI	-0.045	-0.054	-0.074
1951—2013年5月AOI	0.088	0.050	-0.027
注：^, ^*分别表示达到0.05, 0.01显著性水平。

DownLoad: Download CSV

Table 2 Correlation between winter AO and Asian surface air temperature anomalies during 1951-2013

时间段及物理量	1950—2012年12月AOI	1951—2013年1月AOI	1951—2013年2月AOI
1950—2012年12月T_EA	0.421^**
1951—2013年1月T_EA	0.423^**	0.620^**
1951—2013年2月T_EA	0.244	0.303^*	0.562^**
1951—2013年3月T_EA	0.114	0.310*	0.526^**
1951—2013年4月T_EA	0.309^*	0.318^**	0.356^**
1951—2013年5月T_EA	-0.007	0.256^*	0.266^*
1951—2013年6月T_EA	0.037	0.015	0.048
注：^，^*分别表示达到0.05, 0.01显著性水平。

DownLoad: Download CSV

Table 3 Autocorrelation of AO index and WPSST from Jan 1950 to Dec 2013

滞后长度/月	AOI自相关系数	WPSST自相关系数
1	0.430	0.790
2	0.174	0.647
3	0.010	0.565
4	-0.105	0.513
5	-0.193	0.469

DownLoad: Download CSV

References

[1]	Thompson D W J, Wallace J M.The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields.Geophys Res Lett, 1998, 25(9):1297-1300. doi: 10.1029/98GL00950
[2]	Thompson D W J, Wallace J M.Annular modes in the extratropical circulation.Part Ⅰ:Month-to-month variability.J Climate, 2000, 13(5):1000-1016. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1000:AMITEC>2.0.CO;2
[3]	Baldwin M P, Timothy J D.Propagation of the Arctic Oscillation from the stratosphere to the troposphere.J Geophys Res, 1999, 104:30937-30946. doi: 10.1029/1999JD900445
[4]	范丽军, 李建平, 韦志刚, 等.北极涛动和南极涛动的年变化特征.大气科学, 2003, 27(3):419-424. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK200303010.htm
[5]	Wallace John M.North Atlantic Oscillation annular mode:Two paradigms-one phenomenon.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2000, 126:791-805. doi: 10.1256/smsqj.56401
[6]	龚道溢, 王绍武.近百年北极涛动对中国冬季气候的影响.地理学报, 2003, 58(4):559-568. doi: 10.11821/xb200304010
[7]	Gong D Y, Wang S W, Zhu J H.East Asian winter monsoon and Arctic oscillation.Geophys Res Lett, 2001, 28(10):2072-2076. doi: 10.1029/2000GL012311/abstract;jsessionid=BDFA1F912990F1288842866F47A562F2.f02t02
[8]	毛睿, 龚道溢, 房巧敏.冬季东亚中纬度西风急流对我国气候的影响.应用气象学报, 2007, 18(2):137-146. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20070226
[9]	施能.近40年东亚冬季风强度的多时间尺度变化特征及其与气候的关系.应用气象学报, 1996, 7(2):175-182. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19960227&flag=1
[10]	Wu B Y, Wang J.Impacts of winter Arctic Oscillation on Siberian High, the East Asian winter monsoon.Adv Atmos Sci, 2002, 19(2):297-320. doi: 10.1007/s00376-002-0024-x
[11]	武炳义, 卞林根, 张人禾.冬季北极涛动和北极海冰变化对东亚气候变化的影响.极地研究, 2004, 16(3):211-220. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JDYZ200403006.htm
[12]	刘实, 隋波, 涂钢, 等.我国东北地区冬季气温变化的东亚冬季风背景.应用气象学报, 2014, 25(1):11-21. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20140102
[13]	丁一汇, 柳艳菊, 梁苏洁, 等.东亚冬季风的年代际变化及其与全球气候变化的可能联系.气象学报, 2014, 72(5):835-852. doi: 10.11676/qxxb2014.079
[14]	李春晖, 管兆勇, 何金海, 等.西太平洋海温和南方涛动与中国冬季气候异常关系年代际变化的对比分析.应用气象学报, 2005, 16(1):105-113. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20050114
[15]	Chen S F, Chen W, Wei K.Recent trends in winter temperature extremes in eastern China and their relationship with the Arctic Oscillation and ENSO.Adv Atmos Sci, 2013, 30(6):1712-1724, doi: 10.1007/s00376-013-2296-8.
[16]	陈文, 兰晓青, 王林, 等.ENSO和北极涛动对东亚冬季气候异常的综合影响.科学通报, 2013, 58(8):634-641. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXTB201308005.htm
[17]	陈文, 魏科, 王林, 周群.东亚冬季风气候变异和机理以及平流层过程的影响.大气科学, 2013, 37(2):425-438. doi: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2012.12309
[18]	Liu Qinyu, Wen Na, Liu Zhengyu.An observational study of the impact of the North Pacific SST on the atmosphere.Geophys Res Lett, 2006, 33(18):L18611, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026082.
[19]	Kim Hae-Jeong, Ahn Joong-Bae.Possible impact of the autumnal North Pacific SST and November AO on the East Asian winter temperature.J Geophys Res, 2012, 117, D12104, doi: 10.1029/2012JD017527.
[20]	He Shenping, Wang Huijun. Impact of the November/December Arctic Oscillation on the following January temperature in East Asia.J Geophys Res, 2013, 118(23):12981-12998.
[21]	Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, et al.The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project.Bull Amer Meteor Soc, 1996, 77:437-470. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2
[22]	Li Jianping, Wang Julian.A modified zonal index and its physical sense.Geophys Res Lett, 2003, 30(12), 1632, doi: 10.1029/2003GL017441.
[23]	康丽华, 陈文, 王林, 陈丽娟.我国冬季气温的年际变化及其与大气环流的海温异常的关系.气候与环境研究, 2009, 14(1):45-53. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200901005.htm
[24]	郭其蕴.东亚冬季风的变化与中国气温异常的关系.应用气象学报, 1994, 5(2):218-225. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19940238&flag=1
[25]	陈文, 康丽华.北极涛动与东亚冬季气候在年际尺度上的联系:准定常行星波的作用.大气科学, 2006, 30(5):843-870. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK200605014.htm
[26]	李维京, 李怡, 陈丽娟, 等.我国冬季气温与影响因子关系的年代际变化.应用气象学报, 2013, 24(4):385-396. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20130401
[27]	Feldstein S B.The recent trend and variance increase of the Annular Mode.J Climate, 2002, 15(1):88-94. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0088:TRTAVI>2.0.CO;2
[28]	Deser C.On the Teleconnectivity of the Arctic Oscillation.Geophys Res Lett, 2000, 27(6):779-782. doi: 10.1029/1999GL010945