Research Progress on Agricultural Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Forecasting

Guo Jianping

doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20160510

Vol.27, NO.5, 2016

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Guo Jianping. Research progress on agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and forecasting. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2016, 27(5): 620-630. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20160510.

Citation:

Guo Jianping. Research progress on agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and forecasting. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2016, 27(5): 620-630. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20160510.

Guo Jianping. Research progress on agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and forecasting. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2016, 27(5): 620-630. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20160510.

Citation:

Guo Jianping. Research progress on agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and forecasting. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2016, 27(5): 620-630. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20160510.

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Research Progress on Agricultural Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Forecasting

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20160510

Guo Jianping^{1,2
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1.
State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
2.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044

Received Date: 2016-05-11
Rev Recd Date: 2016-07-04
Publish Date: 2016-09-30

Abstract

Abstract

Agricultural meteorological disaster is one of the main natural disasters affecting crop yield stability in the world. Impacted by monsoon climate, China is one of the most seriously affected countries by agricultural meteorological disaster in the world. China's great disaster variety, high strength, high frequency, wide influence range, and severe yield losses have great impacts on sustainable development of agricultural production. Agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and forecasting is the basis and premise of disaster assessment and prevention. Accurate monitoring and timely forecast of disasters is possible for effective prevention of agricultural meteorological disasters, and makes yield losses decrease to a minimum extent. Therefore, corresponding research has long been a key fields of agrometeorological research.Based on a systematic review on the research progress and achievements of agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring and prediction technology, some problems are found to be quite vital: The fundamental research of agricultural meteorological disaster is still insufficient, commonly-used agricultural meteorological disaster index doesn't fully consider hazard-formative factors, agricultural meteorological disaster monitoring isn't fine enough, early warning technology is short, and the new pattern of agricultural disaster under climate change are not revealed enough. Therefore, some efforts should be strengthened in the future, i.e., a more comprehensive disaster index, advanced forecasting technology, real-time warning system, three-dimensional and dynamic monitoring system, the evaluation of disaster risk under climate change, and the application technology of meteorological and climate forecast information in the prediction of agricultural meteorological disasters.
- agricultural meteorological disaster;
- monitoring and forecasting;
- research progress

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References(131)

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