Huang Yao, Xiao Tiangui, Jin Ronghua. Effects of low-frequency oscillation on the persistent extreme precipitation in Sichuan Basin. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2019, 30(1): 93-104. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20190109.
Citation: Huang Yao, Xiao Tiangui, Jin Ronghua. Effects of low-frequency oscillation on the persistent extreme precipitation in Sichuan Basin. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2019, 30(1): 93-104. DOI:  10.11898/1001-7313.20190109.

Effects of Low-frequency Oscillation on the Persistent Extreme Precipitation in Sichuan Basin

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20190109
  • Received Date: 2018-09-14
  • Rev Recd Date: 2018-11-05
  • Publish Date: 2019-01-31
  • Based on precipitation data of surface meteorological stations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during 1981-2016, the persistent extreme precipitation is defined for Sichuan Basin, and 15-30-day low-frequency oscillation characteristics of precipitation and atmosphere are analyzed in detail by means of wavelet analysis, synthetic analysis and Butterworth filtering, which provide theoretical basis and reference for extended period forecast.Results show that persistent extreme precipitations in Sichuan Basin are concentrated from June to September, which generally last for 3 days. The precipitation has low-frequency oscillation characteristics of 15-30 days and 30-60 days, and mainly 15-30-day oscillation. During the precipitation, the South Asia high and upper jet form a high-level divergence field, the subtropical high is strong and extends westward, the low pressure in the Lake Baikal and the Sea of Okhotsk extends southward, and the airflow in South China Sea and the airflow in the west side of subtropical high converge and pass northward. During the precipitation, low-frequency systems in each height layer and each latitude cooperate with each other in three-dimension space to form a low-frequency circulation which is favorable for precipitation. The vertical baroclinicity of the low-frequency system is conducive to the accumulation of unstable energy and provides energy conditions for precipitation.In the low-frequency flow field, during the precipitation period, the low-level and middle-level north-south airflows merge into the basin to form a convergence area, and the upper layer appears as a northerly wind. The low-latitude cyclone in the lower layer is generated in the western Pacific Ocean and gradually moves northwestward to the South China Sea to bring warm and humid airflow. The southeast side of the mid-high-latitude Lake Baikal generates a cyclone which then moves eastward to the vicinity of the Okhotsk Sea to enhance the northerly wind transport. The mid-high-latitude Eurasia low-pressure center in the middle layer corresponds to the transverse trough in the polar region of the original field. With the transverse trough turning vertical, the center of the low-pressure moves to the southeast, arriving at Mongolia in precipitation, and splits the small trough to the downstream, strengthening in the Sea of Japan, followed by the high-pressure center to the Ural Mountains. During the precipitation period, the divergence of Sichuan Basin at high-level is positive, which is favorable for the continuous convergence and upward movement at lower and middle layers.
  • Fig. 1  Composited wavelet power spectrum of persistent extreme precipitation events (the solid line)

    (the shaded denotes passing the test of 0.05 level, the dotted line denotes the boundary influence area)

    Fig. 2  Time series of daily precipitation, 15-30-day and 30-60-day precipitation from May to Sep in 1981 in Sichuan Basin

    (the lower horizontal line marks the threshold of extreme precipitation, while the upper horizontal line represents the value of 0 for low-frequency components)

    Fig. 3  15-30-day wind fields(a) and wind field before filtering(b) at 850 hPa during the persistent extreme precipitation period

    (the gray denotes passing the test of 0.05 level, "A" and "C" denote anticyclonic and cyclonic anomalies, and the black denotes the Tibetan Plateau)

    Fig. 4  15-30-day geopotential fields(a) and geopotential fields before filtering(b) at 500 hPa during the persistent extreme precipitation period

    (the shaded denotes the geopotential anomaly; the contour denotes the original height, unit:gpm; the black dots denote passing the test of 0.05 level)

    Fig. 5  Cross-sections of 15-30-day composited wind field and 15-30-day composited vorticity during the period of persistent extreme precipitation events

    (a)wind field averaged along 102°-105°E (the contour denotes meridional wind, the positive denotes south wind and the negative denotes north wind; the shaded denotes zonal wind, unit:m·s-1), (b)vorticity field averaged 28°-34°N, 102°-105°E (unit:10-6s-1)

    Fig. 6  Cross-section of 15-30-day wind field along 100°-120°E at 850 hPa from 30 days before precipitation to 15 days after precipitation

    (unit:m·s-1, the box denotes the target area of Sichuan Basin, hereinafter)
    (a)zonal wind, (b)meridional wind

    Fig. 7  Evolution of 15-30-day wind fields at 850 hPa from 7 days before the precipitation to the first day after onset (unit:m·s-1, "A" and "C" denote anticyclonic and cyclonic, respectively, and the black denotes the Tibetan Plateau)

    Fig. 8  Cross-section of 15-30-day geopotential height (the shaded) and wind field (the contour, unit:m·s-1) along 80°-100°E at 500 hPa from 30 days before precipitation to 15 days after precipitation

    (a)geopotential height and zonal wind, (b)geopotential height and meridional wind

    Fig. 9  Evolution of 15-30-day geopotential height at 500 hPa from 14 days before the precipitation to the first day after onset (unit:gpm)

    Table  1  Persistent extreme precipitation events in Sichuan Basin

    发生时间 持续时间/d
    1981-07-10—14 5
    1981-09-01—03 3
    1982-07-08—10 3
    1983-07-28—30 3
    1984-08-02—04 3
    1985-09-11—14 4
    1987-06-24—27 4
    1988-07-23—26 4
    1988-08-11—15 5
    1990-08-26—28 3
    1992-07-12—14 3
    1992-08-01—03 3
    1998-07-04—06 3
    1999-07-13—15 3
    2005-06-30—03 4
    2005-08-07—09 3
    2008-09-08—10 3
    2008-09-23—26 4
    2009-09-10—14 5
    2010-07-15—17 3
    2013-06-19—21 3
    2013-07-08—11 4
    2014-08-07—09 3
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    • Received : 2018-09-14
    • Accepted : 2018-11-05
    • Published : 2019-01-31

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