Reconstruction of Crop Development Model with Its Simulation Test Based on Sugarcane

Ma Yuping; Wang Peijuan; Wang Da; E Youhao; Li Li; Sun Linli; Yang Jianying; Huo Zhiguo

doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20210508

Vol.32, NO.5, 2021

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Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2021 > 32(5): 603-617

Ma Yuping, Wang Peijuan, Wang Da, et al. Reconstruction of crop development model with its simulation test based on sugarcane. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2021, 32(5): 603-617. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20210508.

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Ma Yuping, Wang Peijuan, Wang Da, et al. Reconstruction of crop development model with its simulation test based on sugarcane. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2021, 32(5): 603-617. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20210508.

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Reconstruction of Crop Development Model with Its Simulation Test Based on Sugarcane

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20210508

1.
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
2.
Fusui Meteorological Bureau of Chongzuo, Guangxi, Chongzuo 532100
3.
Guangxi Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Nanning 530022
4.
Tongliao Meteorological Bureau of Inner Mongolia, Tongliao 028000

Received Date: 2021-03-20
Rev Recd Date: 2021-06-09
Publish Date: 2021-09-30

Abstract

Abstract

Crop growth model describes the development and growth process of crop. Development process is the physiological age of crops, which is related to the morphological changes of crops, and is a landmark stage of crop growth to achieve qualitative change. Development process is the time indicator of crop growth model. Reasonable description of the crop development process is the premise of high accuracy of crop growth model. At present, although different crop development models have been developed and widely used in crop growth models, their simulation ability can hardly meet the needs of crop growth simulation. These models only focus on the impact of meteorological conditions in a certain period (day), but do not particularly consider the period of crop development, which may be an important factor for the low accuracy of model simulation.It is assumed that the development rate of a crop on a certain day is not only related to the meteorological conditions of that day, but also related to its development stage. The development stage of crop is represented by the date, so that the temperature-day (T_Ad) and development unit-day (C_HUd) models are constructed. In addition, according to the principle of heat unit corrected by temperature model (T_HUa), the development unit corrected by temperature model (C_HUa) is constructed. Based on the principle of response-adaptation of temperature model (R_AM), the response-adaptation of development unit model (C_HUr) is established.The adaptability of the development model for sugarcane is analyzed by using the field data of 30 agrometeorological stations in China from 1980 to 2019, and the advantages and disadvantages between the traditional development model and the reconstructed model are compared. The results show that C_HUd and T_Ad model have better adaptability to simulate the development process of sugarcane, especially in the later stage of the development process when the temperature is decreasing. Compared with the original model (C_HU), the adaptive ability of C_HUa model for sugarcane decreases from seedling emergence to stem elongation but increases from stem elongation to maturity. The theoretical description of C_HUr model is not tenable. Sorted by simulation ability, the order of development models is as follows: C_HUd, T_Ad, R_AM, C_HU, C_HUa and the heat unit (T_HU) model, and their simulation ability values (S_CV) calculated by root mean square difference are 4.3, 3.9, 3.7, 3.3, 3.0 and 2.8, respectively.The reconstruction of the development model will further improve the CAMM and promote the development of crop growth simulation theory.
- development model;
- adaptability;
- sugarcane;
- development period;
- crop growth model

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References(46)

Figures and Tables

Fig. 1 Test of different development models based on the whole sample development data of new planted sugarcane

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Fig. 2 Relationship between parameters of development model and latitude of the station

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Fig. 3 Measurements and simulations of development models based on back training for new planted sugarcane

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Fig. 4 Measurements and simulations of development models based on independent samples for new planted sugarcane

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Table 1 Overview of research data

作物	站点	所在省份	位置	海拔/m	数据时段
新植蔗	乌拉特前旗	蒙	40.7°N，108.7°E	1022.0	1997—2002年
新植蔗	临河	蒙	40.8°N，107.4°E	1040.8	1992—2002年
新植蔗	平罗	宁	38.9°N，106.6°E	1099.9	1993—1999年
新植蔗	赤峰	蒙	42.3°N，119.0°E	568.0	1992—2002年
新植蔗	耿马	云	23.6°N，99.4°E	1105.4	1993—2020年
新植蔗	元江	云	23.4°N，102.0°E	397.6	1994—2020年
新植蔗	泰和	赣	26.8°N，114.9°E	61.8	1993—2003年
新植蔗	广丰	赣	28.4°N，118.2°E	96.1	1994—2009年
新植蔗	仙游	闽	25.4°N，118.7°E	77.0	1993—1997年
新植蔗	宜山	桂	24.5°N，108.7°E	149.8	2003—2009年
新植蔗	沙塘	桂	24.5°N，109.4°E	99.1	2003—2010年
新植蔗	蒙山	桂	24.2°N，110.5°E	147.0	1980—1994年
新植蔗	平果	桂	23.3°N，107.6°E	112.6	1990—2009年
新植蔗	来宾	桂	23.8°N，109.2°E	85.2	2003—2009年
新植蔗	贵县	桂	23.1°N，109.6°E	56.0	1989—2009年
新植蔗	扶绥	桂	22.6°N，107.9°E	88.9	2003—2012年
新植蔗	徐闻	粤	20.3°N，110.2°E	69.0	1992—2001年
宿根蔗	米易	川	26.9°N，102.1°E	1105.8	1992—1998年
宿根蔗	德宏州	云	24.4°N，98.6°E	914.7	1993—2009年
宿根蔗	耿马	云	23.6°N，99.4°E	1105.4	2012—2020年
宿根蔗	蒙自	云	23.4°N，103.4°E	1301.7	2010—2016年
宿根蔗	吉安	赣	27.1°N，115.0°E	78.0	2000—2009年
宿根蔗	泰和	赣	26.8°N，114.9°E	61.8	1992—2009年
宿根蔗	仙游	闽	25.4°N，118.7°E	77.0	1998—2009年
宿根蔗	宜山	桂	24.5°N，108.7°E	149.8	2002—2009年
宿根蔗	沙塘	桂	24.5°N，109.4°E	99.1	2002—2012年
宿根蔗	蒙山	桂	24.2°N，110.5°E	147.0	2002—2009年
宿根蔗	漳浦	闽	24.1°N，117.6°E	51.1	2002—2009年
宿根蔗	平果	桂	23.3°N，107.6°E	112.6	2002—2009年
宿根蔗	贵县	桂	23.1°N，109.6°E	56.0	1996—2009年

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Table 2 Calibrated parameter of development models at some sites for new planted sugarcane

站名	纬度	发育模式
站名	纬度	T_HU	C_HU	C_HUa	C_HUd/10⁵	T_Ad/10⁵
乌拉特前旗	40.7°N	1825.6	2149.1	97.4	4.34	6.34
临河	40.8°N	1741.3	2061.7	94.8	4.04	5.88
平罗	38.9°N	1737.1	2143.9	108.3	4.38	6.43
赤峰	42.3°N	1662.9	2043.3	99.7	4.22	6.13
耿马	23.6°N	3034.5	3723.5	175.2	9.27	13.0
元江	23.4°N	4569.2	4968.3	178.1	9.93	20.1
泰和	26.8°N	3415.9	3898.3	157.6	8.29	11.9
广丰	28.4°N	3190.2	3633.9	145.1	7.30	10.5
仙游	25.4°N	3804.3	4319.8	175.5	9.04	12.8
宜山	24.5°N	3584.3	3946.0	150.9	7.82	11.2
沙塘	24.5°N	3894.0	4366.9	175.4	8.90	12.8
蒙山	24.2°N	3584.3	4049.9	166.8	8.63	12.4
平果	23.3°N	4114.0	4560.1	176.2	9.04	12.9
来宾	23.8°N	3799.4	4149.1	155.4	8.34	11.9
贵县	23.1°N	3918.3	4315.0	164.3	8.60	12.3
扶绥	22.6°N	4242.6	4687.0	179.4	10.4	15.0
徐闻	20.3°N	4888.2	5446.8	207.7	12.9	18.0

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Table 3 Back training simulation error of development model for new planted sugarcane

发育阶段	模式	相关系数	平均偏差/d	平均误差/d	平均相对误差/d	均方根误差/d	样本量
播种-出苗	T_HU	0.82	1.1	6.2	19.6	8.9	66
	C_HU	0.83	0.8	6.0	18.7	8.6	66
	C_HUa	0.82	1.3	6.3	19.2	8.9	66
	C_HUd	0.83	1.6	6.2	20.5	9.1	66
	T_Ad	0.83	1.4	6.1	20.0	8.9	66
	R_AM	0.84	-1.5	5.4	15.1	8.7	66
出苗-茎伸长	T_HU	0.90	0.5	9.5	12.2	14.2	137
	C_HU	0.88	0.5	10.3	13.1	14.9	137
	C_HUa	0.84	0.6	12.7	16.1	17.3	137
	C_HUd	0.91	0.9	8.9	11.2	13.5	137
	T_Ad	0.90	0.9	8.9	11.2	13.6	137
	R_AM	0.86	-0.4	8.3	12.2	16.5	137
茎伸长-成熟	T_HU	0.33	8.4	25.2	20.2	43.0	120
	C_HU	0.73	1.6	15.5	11.4	23.0	120
	C_HUa	0.86	0.1	12.0	8.3	16.5	120
	C_HUd	0.86	0.3	11.8	8.5	16.6	120
	T_Ad	0.76	4.9	14.9	10.3	23.9	120
	R_AM	0.55	-1.4	16.2	11.9	36.1	120

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Table 4 Development model simulation errors based on independent samples for new planted sugarcane

发育阶段	模式	相关系数	平均偏差/d	平均误差/d	平均相对误差/d	均方根误差/d	样本量
播种-出苗	T_HU	0.83	2.6	6.6	31.5	9.1	24
	C_HU	0.82	2.5	6.5	31.2	9.2	24
	C_HUa	0.81	3.3	6.6	32.2	9.6	24
	C_HUd	0.81	3.0	6.9	31.7	10.1	24
	T_Ad	0.81	3.0	6.9	32.0	9.9	24
	R_AM	0.81	1.4	6.2	29.1	9.1	24
出苗-茎伸长	T_HU	0.92	0.9	9.1	11.8	12.4	52
	C_HU	0.92	1.0	9.6	12.3	12.7	52
	C_HUa	0.87	1.5	11.5	14.6	15.3	52
	C_HUd	0.93	3.6	8.9	11.8	12.9	52
	T_Ad	0.92	3.1	8.9	11.8	12.9	52
	R_AM	0.73	2.7	13.0	20.3	23.2	52
茎伸长-成熟	T_HU	0.58	5.0	22.9	15.1	35.0	46
	C_HU	0.67	5.2	18.2	12.2	27.5	46
	C_HUa	0.85	6.3	12.6	8.8	17.3	46
	C_HUd	0.86	6.2	12.4	8.5	17.2	46
	T_Ad	0.71	14.0	19.8	13.7	32.8	46
	R_AM	0.21	12.2	29.1	24.0	70.1	46

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Table 5 Simulation ability of development models in different tests

发育阶段	模式	新植蔗			宿根蔗			S_CV
发育阶段	模式	全样本	参数率定	独立样本	全样本	参数率定	独立样本	S_CV
播种-出苗	T_HU	2	4	6				4.0
	C_HU	5	6	4				5.0
	C_HUa	1	3	3				2.3
	C_HUd	3	1	1				1.7
	T_Ad	4	2	2				2.7
	R_AM	6	5	5				5.3
出苗/发株-茎伸长	T_HU	3	4	6	3	3	4	3.8
	C_HU	2	3	5	2	2	3	2.8
	C_HUa	1	1	2	1	1	1	1.2
	C_HUd	5	6	4	4	5	6	5.0
	T_Ad	4	5	3	5	4	5	4.3
	R_AM	6	2	1	6	6	2	3.8
茎伸长-成熟	T_HU	1	1	2	2	1	1	1.3
	C_HU	2	4	4	3	2	2	2.8
	C_HUa	5	6	5	6	5	4	5.2
	C_HUd	6	5	6	4	3	5	4.8
	T_Ad	4	3	3	5	4	6	4.2
	R_AM	3	2	1	1	6	3	2.7

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