Influences of Global Warming on Yield Structure and Quality of Winter Wheat Xumai 33

Song Yanling; Zhou Guangsheng; Guo Jianping; Dong Jing; Pan Yaru; Zhang Renzu; Zhang Lihua; Wu Shiming; Jia Hong; Song Qiang; Li Ke; Chen Geng; Xu Jinxia

doi:10.11898/1001-7313.20230504

Vol.34, NO.5, 2023

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2023 > 34(5): 552-561

Song Yanling, Zhou Guangsheng, Guo Jianping, et al. Influences of global warming on yield structure and quality of winter wheat Xumai 33. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2023, 34(5): 552-561. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20230504.

Citation:

Song Yanling, Zhou Guangsheng, Guo Jianping, et al. Influences of global warming on yield structure and quality of winter wheat Xumai 33. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2023, 34(5): 552-561. DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20230504.

Citation:

PDF( 1363 KB)

Influences of Global Warming on Yield Structure and Quality of Winter Wheat Xumai 33

DOI: 10.11898/1001-7313.20230504

Song Yanling^{1, 2, 3
,
,},
Zhou Guangsheng^{1, 2, 3},
Guo Jianping^{1, 3},
Dong Jing⁴,
Pan Yaru^{1, 3},
Zhang Renzu⁵,
Zhang Lihua⁵,
Wu Shiming⁵,
Jia Hong⁵,
Song Qiang⁵,
Li Ke⁵,
Chen Geng⁵,
Xu Jinxia⁶

1.
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
2.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disaters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044
3.
CMA-CAU Jointly Laboratory of Agriculture Addressing Climate Change, Beijing 100081
4.
Inner Mongolia Meteorological Bureau, Hohhot 010000
5.
Xuzhou Meteorological Bureau of Jiangsu, Xuzhou 210004
6.
Sichuan Meteorological Bureau, Chengdu 610072

Received Date: 2023-06-05
Rev Recd Date: 2023-08-28
Publish Date: 2023-09-30

Abstract

Abstract

To study the impact of global warming on the yield and quality of winter wheat, field scientific experiments are carried out at Xuzhou Agro-meteorological Station of Jiangsu from 2017 to 2022. There are four sowing dates each year with different temperature during the growing season of winter wheat, while the winter wheat variety, soil physical and chemical properties, and agriculture measures are all the same. Therefore, the yield structure and quality of winter wheat are mainly influenced by climate change. It shows that the average temperature increases 0.1℃ to 1.7℃ during the growing season of winter wheat at different sowing dates during 5-year field experiments. The increasing temperature has an impact on the yield structure, and there is a significant negative influence on the number of grains per ear of winter wheat, with a correlation coefficient of -0.49 (P<0.05). The number of grains per ear of winter wheat decreases by 14.7% for 1℃ increase, resulting in a reduction in yield. The increasing temperature also has a negative impact on grain quality, the correlation coefficient between temperature and grain protein content reaches -0.72 (P<0.01), and the correlation coefficient with fat content is -0.52 (P<0.05). In addition, the increasing temperature has a negative impact on 14 of 16 amino acids, especially on the content of aspartic acid and arginine. Overall, climate change could decrease the number of grains per ear of winter wheat, and decrease significantly in protein and fat content in grains. The main cause is that the minimum temperature at night increases due to global warming, strengthening the respiration of winter wheat, which is not conducive to its assimilation and organic matter accumulation. At the same time, climate warming leads to an increase in high-temperature damage during the flowering to maturity period of winter wheat, affecting its physiological and biochemical processes, especially limiting the absorption and synthesis of nutrients of winter wheat.
- global warming;
- winter wheat;
- yield;
- quality

FullText(HTML)

References(36)

Figures and Tables

Fig. 1 Relationship of temperature during growing season of winter wheat to number of grains per ear(a) and 1000-grain weight(b)

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 2 Relationship of temperature(a), precipitation(b) and sunshine hour(c) during growing season of winter wheat to starch content of grain

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 3 Relationship of temperature(a), precipitation(b) and sunshine hour(c) during growing season of winter wheat to protein content of grain

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 4 Relationship of temperature(a), precipitation(b) and sunshine hour(c) during growing season of winter wheat to fat content of grain

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

图 5 冬小麦生长季平均气温与籽粒氨基酸含量的关系

(a)天冬氨酸, (b)精氨酸

Fig. 5 Relationship of temperature during growing season of winter wheat to amino acid content of grain

(a)aspartic acid, (b)arginine

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 6 Relationship of high temperature index during growing season of winter wheat to protein content(a) and fat content(b) of grain

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Fig. 7 Relationship of mean minimum temperature during growing season of winter wheat to protein content(a) and fat content(b) of grain

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

Table 1 Growing season and meteorological condition of winter wheat for sowing date experiments at Xuzhou Agro-meteorological Station of Jiangshu during 2017-2022

试验	播期	播种期	成熟期	平均气温/℃	积温/(℃·d)	降水量/mm	日照时数/h
试验1	第1播期	2017-10-10	2018-05-26	9.9	2321.4	213.4	1408.7
	第2播期	2017-10-20	2018-05-28	9.8	2222.1	176.5	1400.5
	第3播期	2017-10-30	2018-05-28	9.6	2078.6	176.5	1324.5
	第4播期	2017-11-09	2018-05-31	9.7	2033.8	176.5	1329.4
试验2	第1播期	2018-09-30	2019-05-31	10.4	2582.8	231.4	1348.9
	第2播期	2018-10-10	2019-06-02	10.2	2443.9	231.4	1275.7
	第3播期	2018-10-20	2019-06-02	10.0	2297.7	231.4	1204.0
	第4播期	2018-10-30	2019-06-04	9.5	2207.0	231.4	1155.2
试验3	第1播期	2019-09-30	2020-05-23	11.2	2647.3	293.6	1180.9
	第2播期	2019-10-10	2020-05-25	10.9	2508.6	251.6	1140.7
	第3播期	2019-10-20	2020-05-27	10.8	2400.4	245.0	1126.6
	第4播期	2019-10-30	2020-05-29	10.8	2297.2	245.0	1095.0
试验4	第1播期	2020-09-30	2021-05-26	10.4	2453.1	261.0	1106.1
	第2播期	2020-10-10	2021-05-28	10.2	2419.7	251.4	1108.0
	第3播期	2020-10-20	2021-05-31	10.2	2346.2	242.7	1119.3
	第4播期	2020-10-30	2021-06-02	10.2	2258.1	242.7	1077.3
试验5	第1播期	2021-09-30	2022-05-23	10.6	2524.1	121.1	1198.3
	第2播期	2021-10-10	2022-05-24	10.2	2345.5	114.0	1164.8
	第3播期	2021-10-20	2022-05-26	10.1	2223.0	94.2	1143.8
	第4播期	2021-10-30	2022-05-27	10.0	2115.2	94.2	1109.2

DownLoad: Download CSV

References

[1]	Jin S B. Chinese Wheat Science. Beijing: China Agriculture Press, 1996.
[2]	National Bureau of Statistics of China. China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2022.
[3]	FAO(Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations). FAOSTAT, 2019.
[4]	Climate Change Center of China Meteorological Administration. Blue Book on Climate Change in China 2020. Beijing: Science Press, 2020.
[5]	IPCC(Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change). Summary for Policymakers, 2018.
[6]	IPCC. Climate Change: The Physical Science Basis, 2021.
[7]	Wang C Z, Huo Z G, Guo A H, et al. Climatic risk assessment of winter wheat aphids in northern China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2021, 32(2): 160-174. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20210203
[8]	Ren S X, Zhao H R, Qi Y, et al. The outbreak and damage of the Pleonomus canaliculatus in wheat field under the background of climate change. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2020, 31(5): 620-630. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20200509
[9]	Mi Q C, Gao X N, Li Y, et al. Application of deep learning method to drought prediction. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2022, 33(1): 104-114. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20220109
[10]	Zhao Y X, Wang F T, Qiu G W. Study of winter wheat drought and prediction model. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2001, 12(2): 235-241. http://qikan.camscma.cn/article/id/20010231
[11]	Zhao H, Dai Y B, Jiang D, et al. Effect of drought and waterlogging on flag leaf post-anthesis photosynthetic characteristics and assimilates traslocation in winter wheat under high temperature. Chinese J Appl Ecol, 2007, 18(2): 333-338. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYSB200702016.htm
[12]	Fan X M, Jiang D, Dai Y B, et al. Effects of nitrogen supply on flag leaf photosynthesis and grain starch accumulation of wheat from its anthesis to maturity under drought or waterlogging. Chinese J Appl Ecol, 2005, 16(10): 1883-1888. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYSB200510016.htm
[13]	Shang Y, Huo Z G, Zhang L, et al. Effects of soil relative humidity on the occurrence of dry hot wind disaster in winter wheat. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2019, 30(5): 598-607. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20190508
[14]	Huo Z G, Shang Y, Wu D R, et al. Advance on dry hot wind disaster of wheat in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2019, 30(2): 129-141. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20190201
[15]	Yang F Y, Zheng Q H, Luo J M, et al. Practical Agrometeorological Indicators. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2015.
[16]	Liu W, Song Y B. A daily meteorological impact index of maize yield based on weather elements. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2022, 33(3): 364-374. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20220310
[17]	Wu N Y, Liang F X, Zhang Y H, et al. Effects of limited water stress on wheat growth and the relative soil moisture index of rational irrigation. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2000, 11(Suppl Ⅰ): 170-177. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2000S1023.htm
[18]	Chen Y Y, Wang P J, Zhang Y D, et al. Comparison of drought recognition of spring maize in Northeast China based on 3 remote sensing indices. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2022, 33(4): 466-476. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20220407
[19]	Guo J P. Advances in impacts of climate change on agriculture production in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2015, 26(1): 1-11. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20150101
[20]	Song Y L, Zhou G S, Guo J P, et al. Freezing injury of winter wheat in northern China and delaying sowing date to adapt. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2022, 33(4): 454-465. doi: 10.11898/1001-7313.20220406
[21]	Meng F Y, Feng L P, Zhang F Y, et al. Temporal and spatial variations of winter wheat freezing injury in northern winter wheat region. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 2019, 45(10): 1576-1585. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XBZW201910013.htm
[22]	Zheng D X, Yang X G, Zhao J, et al. Spatial and temporal patterns of freezing injury during winter in Huang-Huai winter wheat area under climate change. Acta Ecological Sinica, 2015, 35(13): 4338-4346. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-STXB201513010.htm
[23]	Song Y L, Wang J L. The Assessment of Influence of Agro-Meteorological Disasters on Agriculture under Climate Change in China. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2017.
[24]	Tao F L, Zhang S, Zhang Z. Spatiotemporal changes of wheat phenology in China under the effects of temperature, day length and cultivar thermal characteristics. European Journal of Agronomy, 2012, 43: 201-212.
[25]	Xiao D P, Tao F L, Liu Y J, et al. Observed changes in winter wheat phenology in the North China Plain for 1981-2009. International Journal of Biometeorology, 2013, 57(2): 275-285.
[26]	You L Z, Rosegrant M W, Wood S, et al. Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2009, 149: 1009-1014.
[27]	Asseng S, Ewert F, Mertre P, et al. Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Changes, 2015, 5(2): 143-147.
[28]	Liu B, Tian L Y. Post-heading heat stress and yield impact in winter wheat of China. Global Change Biology, 2014, 20(2): 372-381.
[29]	Yang X G, Sun S, Zhao J, et al. Climate change impacts on wheat production in North China. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2021.
[30]	Ju H, Xiong W, Xu Y L, et al. Impacts of climate change on wheat yield in China. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 2005, 31(10): 1340-1343. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XBZW200510016.htm
[31]	China Meteorological Administration. Agricultural Meteorological Observations(Volume Ⅰ). Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 1993.
[32]	GB5009.5—2016.2016. National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, National Medical Products Administration. National Standard of the People's Republic of China, National Food Safety Standards-determination of Protein in Foods. GB5009.5-2016.2016.
[33]	GB5009.6—2016.2016. National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China, National Medical Products Administration. National Standard of the People's Republic of China, National Food Safety Standards-determination of Fat in Foods. GB5009.6-2016.2016.
[34]	Quan C, Jing Y S, Tan K Y. The influence of high temperature on filling and yield of winter wheat. Agriculture Science in Henan, 2014, 1: 28-32. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HNNY201401008.htm
[35]	Song Y L, Wang C Y, Linderholm H W, et al. The negative impact of increasing temperatures on rice yields in southern China. Science of the Total Environment, 2022, 820. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153262.
[36]	Liu H, Wang Z H, Li F C, et al. Contents of protein and amino acids of wheat grain in different wheat production regions and their evaluation. Acta Agronomica Sinica, 2016, 42(5): 768-777. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-XBZW201605019.htm