A Multiple-layer Weighted Mean Steering Method of the Typhoon Track Forecast

Vol.2, NO.4, 1991

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Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 1991 > 2(4): 434-439

A multiple-layer weighted mean steering method of the typhoon track forecast. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1991, 2(4): 434-439.

Citation:

A multiple-layer weighted mean steering method of the typhoon track forecast. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1991, 2(4): 434-439.

A multiple-layer weighted mean steering method of the typhoon track forecast. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1991, 2(4): 434-439.

Citation:

A multiple-layer weighted mean steering method of the typhoon track forecast. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1991, 2(4): 434-439.

1.
1) (The Meteorological Office of Naval Headquarters); 2) (Academy of Meteorological Science, SMA)

Abstract

According to the calculation and analysis of many cases, four sets of regression equations of typhoon track forecast, which are derived from the weighted mean steering flows of the pressures from surface to 500 hPa and surface to 300 hPa levels, are established. The forecast experiments show that the equations have better prospect for predicting for predicting typhoon tracks in middle and lower latitudes. The bases and results of the forecast method are discussed in detail in the paper.