Lin Mingzhi, Li Xufang, Yu Heshu. A compositive criterion for forecasting explosive cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1993, 4(1): 112-116.
Citation:
Lin Mingzhi, Li Xufang, Yu Heshu. A compositive criterion for forecasting explosive cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1993, 4(1): 112-116.
Lin Mingzhi, Li Xufang, Yu Heshu. A compositive criterion for forecasting explosive cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1993, 4(1): 112-116.
Citation:
Lin Mingzhi, Li Xufang, Yu Heshu. A compositive criterion for forecasting explosive cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1993, 4(1): 112-116.
The contribution of meteorological factors (such as deepening rate, cloud patterns, aloft trough and jet) for explosive cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific is analysed by using the numerical prediction productions from ECMWF. A compositive index FZ which depends upon the factors is given. The compositive criterion for forecasting explosive cyclogenesis is determined. According to the technological process presented, experiments of 24-hour forecast were conducted during January through June of 1991 over the western North Pacific. The results show that the method has an accuracy of better than about 25%
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