He Xiajing, Zeng Zong, Xu Yongguo, et al. A method of forecasting tropical cyclone track and intensity-sapc method. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1996, 7(1): 45-52.
Citation:
He Xiajing, Zeng Zong, Xu Yongguo, et al. A method of forecasting tropical cyclone track and intensity-sapc method. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1996, 7(1): 45-52.
He Xiajing, Zeng Zong, Xu Yongguo, et al. A method of forecasting tropical cyclone track and intensity-sapc method. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1996, 7(1): 45-52.
Citation:
He Xiajing, Zeng Zong, Xu Yongguo, et al. A method of forecasting tropical cyclone track and intensity-sapc method. J Appl Meteor Sci, 1996, 7(1): 45-52.
The SAPC (stagewise analogous persistence of climate) method is used to forecast tropical cyclone track and intensity. It can effectively synthesize climatic tracks, analogous tracks and persistent tracks by using the various analogous conditions and weights. The method, which avoiding the changes of the track curvature and considering the climatic statistical results of the various tropical cyclones varying with time and location, can make a predicted tropical cyclone track and intensity according to the present situation. By testing historical data of tropical cyclones and operational forecasting, it is shown that the method is available.
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