RESEARCH ON THE SPRING FIRE-RISK FORECASTING MODEL IN DRY GRASSLANDS IN INNER MONGOLIA

Using grassland fire data and meteorological data of the same period from 1986 to 1997 in Xilin Gol Meng, the grassland spring fire-risk weather forecast model for the high fire-risk districts is presented. The forecast model synthetically considers the influences of meteorological components on grassland fire-risk at the time of fire-risk occurring and the days before. Trail forecast model results are reliable. The model can be used to local grassland forerisk forecasting, provide a basis and instruction for the fireproof departments in formulating the fireproof policies and bring about social, economic and ecological benefits.