CONTRAST ANALYSIS OF THE INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF THE RELATION AMONG THE WESTERN PACIFIC/THE SOUTHERN OSCILLATION AND THE WINTER CLIMATE ANOMALIES IN CHINA

Li Chunhui; Guan Zhaoyong; He Jinhai; Liang Jianyin

Vol.16, NO.1, 2005

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Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2005 > 16(1): 105-113

Li Chunhui, Guan Zhaoyong, He Jinhai, et al. Contrast analysis of the interdecadal variation of the relation among the western Pacific/the southern oscillation and the winter climate anomalies in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2005, 16(1): 105-113.

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CONTRAST ANALYSIS OF THE INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF THE RELATION AMONG THE WESTERN PACIFIC/THE SOUTHERN OSCILLATION AND THE WINTER CLIMATE ANOMALIES IN CHINA

1.
Guangzhou I nstitute of Tropical and Oceanic Meteorology of CMA, Guangzhou 510080
2.
Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster and Env ironmental Variation S tudies, NIM, Nanjing 210044
3.
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, NIM, Nanjing 210044

Received Date: 2003-01-07
Rev Recd Date: 2004-04-20
Publish Date: 2005-02-28

Abstract

Abstract

Using NCEP/NCAP reanalysis data, SST data set of GISST2. 3b, South Oscillation Index (SOI) of CRU as well as the surface air temperature/rainfall records from 160 stations in China, the relation among the western Pacific SST index, the southern oscillation index and the surface air temperature/rainfall in China in winter is investigated. Results indicate that, the relationship between WPI and SOI shows obvious inter-decadal changes in the winter during recent fifty years. When the correlation between WPI and SOI is weak and the western pacific SST warmer (colder), there exists anticyclone (cyclone) circulation at the lower troposphere over northern equatorial western pacific, which is not in favor maintaining a close correlation between the West pacific SST and ENSO. Accordingly, through the whole troposphere, such system Presents quasi-barotropic structure in the winter. Furthermore, when the correlation between WPI and SOI is strong (weak or reversed), the correlation between WPI and the surface air temperature/rainfall in China is weak (strong) in the winter.
- Interdecadal variation;
- WPI;
- SOI;
- Climate anomalies

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References(13)

Figures and Tables

图 1 冬季西太平洋海温指数 (WPI) 与南方涛动指数 (SOI) 间31个月 (10年) 的滑动相关系数

(横虚线为1000次Monte-Carlo模拟得到的90 %置信水平线, 数值绝对值为0.29)

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图 2 冬季西太平洋海温WPI与海平面气压场间在4个不同年代的相关

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1959~1968年, (c)1969~1980年, (d)1982~1997年 (图中阴影区表示通过0.1的信度检验, 下同)

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图 3 冬季1000 hPa风场投影到西太平洋海温WPI时间序列 (4个时段) 上得到的回归系数

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1959~1968年, (c)1969~1980年, (d)1982~1997年 (单位:m·s^-1)

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图 4 冬季500 hPa风场投影到西太平洋海温WPI时间序列 (4个时段) 上得到的回归系数

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1959~1968年, (c)1969~1980年, (d)1982~1997年

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图 5 冬季200 hPa风场投影到西太平洋海温WPI时间序列 (4个时段) 上得到的回归系数

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1959~1968年, (c)1969~1980年, (d)1982~1997年

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图 6 冬季西太平洋海温WPI与中国160站降水在4个不同年代的相关

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1959~1968年, (c)1969~1980年, (d)1982~1997年

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图 7 冬季西太平洋海温WPI与中国160站气温间在两个不同年代的相关

(a)1948~1957年, (b)1969~1980年

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