Li Chunhui, Liang Jianyin, Zheng Bin, et al. The period of South China Sea summer monsoon advanced northward with the related circulation change features. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2007, 18(2): 202-210.
Citation: Li Chunhui, Liang Jianyin, Zheng Bin, et al. The period of South China Sea summer monsoon advanced northward with the related circulation change features. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2007, 18(2): 202-210.

The Period of South China Sea Summer Monsoon Advanced Northward with the Related Circulation Change Features

  • Received Date: 2006-03-20
  • Rev Recd Date: 2006-11-02
  • Publish Date: 2007-04-30
  • The Southern China is one of the most rainy areas in the country, which is affected by both the tropical and subtropical monsoon.From April to June, the Southern China experiences the first rainy period, namely the pre rainy season, which is also the first phase that the annual rain belt starts appearing and pushes northward.For the whole Southern China, heavy rain during the target months uses to cause a flood, which accounts for 40%—50% or even more of the whole year precipitation.Because they are concentrated and severe, the rains during the pre rainy season always get more attention and have been studied a lot.But, currently some researches always consider the pre rainy season as a whole.In fact, the pre rainy season can be divided into two phases i, e., the frontal rainfall and the monsoon rainfall.But now, there are not yet any analytical studies on it.The time when the South China Sea summer monsoon breaking out does not mean the commencement of the Southern China summer monsoon precipitation until the South China Sea summer monsoon pushes northward to Southern China, which causes the sec ond peak of the pre rainy season.Therefore, the study can distinguish the frontal rainfall and monsoon rainfall reasonably and get the time when the South China Sea summer monsoon affects the Southern China and the characteristic of the related circulation change, it will be beneficial to providing a new way of thinking for improving precipitation forecasting of the pre rainy season in Southern China.Based on European Center for Medium range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) and NCEP daily reanalyzed dataset from 1958 to 2004 and the surface air temperature/rainfall records from 730 stations in China, the results show that the time exists obvious differences.Also, this variety has obvious inter decadal change characteristic, namely that the time the Southern China summer monsoon affects the Southern China is early before 1970s and late in the late 1970s.When the Southern China summer monsoon breaks out, if the East Asian trough is deeper, the cold air activity is more active, the south west wind from the crossing equatorial currents of Somali and around 110°—120 °E areas and the west part of the subtropical high is weaker, and the position of the South Asia high and the East Asian jet is more southward, it would cause the time to be later, otherwise it would cause the time to be earlier.During the period that the Southern China summer monsoon affected the Southern China later (earlier), the transportation of the moisture from the crossing equatorial currents of Somali and around 105°E and 130°E areas and the southeast part of the west Pacific subtropical high is weaker (stronger), the frontal precipitation of the pre rainy season rainfall in the Southern China is stronger (weaker).
  • Fig. 1  The water vapor, thermal and dynamical variations over South China (a) vertical cross section of 1971—2000 climatological mean zonal winds during pre-rainy season (unit:m/s, easterlies region is shaded; thick line marked by dots is θse at 850 hPa, unit:K), (b) predictable w ater content (unit:mm), (c) vertical shear of θse averaged for 110°—120°E (θse at 700 hPa minus θse at 925 hPa, unit:K; regions less than-6 K are shaded), (d) climatological mean precipitation over 110°—120°E during the pre-rainy season from surface stations in China mainland (unit:mm/d), (e) mean precipitation during the pre-rainy season from CMAP data (unit:mm/d, dashed arrows denote frontal rain and solid arrows denote summer monsoon rain)

    Fig. 2  Time anomalies of the South China Sea summer monsoon advancing to South China

    Fig. 3  850 hPa wind differences by late years composite and early ones (unit:m/s, late years mean relative long time from South China Sea summer monsoon onset to beginning of monsoon rain over South China, and early years mean relative short time during the process; areas shaded and enclosed by solid line denote the regions that zonal winds and meridional winds exceed α=0.05 significance test, respectively)

    Fig. 4  Same as Fig.3 except for 500 hPa geopotential height (unit:gpm)

    Fig. 5  Same as Fig.4 except for 850 hPa air temperature (unit:K)

    Fig. 6  θse differences between upper (600—300 hPa) and lower troposphere (1000—700 hPa) (a) late years composite, (b) early years composite

    Fig. 7  Water vapor fluxes from surface to 300 hPa (a) late years composite, (b) early years composite, (c) differences (shaded regions denote water vapor fluxes are larger than 1 kg/(cm·s) in (a) and (b), and represent the areas passing α=0.05 significance test in (c))

    Fig. 8  Precipitation composite from surface stations data in the region of 20°—40°N, 100°—120°E (a) late years, (b) early years (unit:mm, daily precipitations larger than 3 mm and 1.5mm are shaded in (a) and (b), respectively)

    Table  1  Dates of South China Sea summer monsoon onset and beginning of monsoon rain over South China and time intervals between them

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    • Received : 2006-03-20
    • Accepted : 2006-11-02
    • Published : 2007-04-30

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