Citation: | Li Qiaoping, Ding Yihui, Dong Wenjie. Summer precipitation change over eastern China in future 30 years under sres a2 scenario. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2008, 19(6): 770-780. |
Table 1 The summer mean precipitation variability (unit:%)
Table 2 The summer mean southwesterly wind index
Table 3 The summer mean southeasterly wind index
[1] |
IPCC. Summary for Policymakers // Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007
|
[2] |
Ding Yihui, Ren Guoyu, Zhao Zongci, et al. Detection, causes and projection of climate change over China: An overview of recent progress. Adv Atmos Sci, 2007, 24(6): 954-971 doi: 10.1007/s00376-007-0954-4
|
[3] |
王会军, 曾庆存,张学洪.CO2含量加倍引的气候变化的数值模拟研究.中国科学(B辑), 1992, (6):663-672 http://www.cqvip.com/Main/Detail.aspx?id=985662
|
[4] |
王绍武, 赵宗慈.未来50年中国气候变化趋势的初步研究.应用气象学报, 1995, 6(3):333-342 http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19950352&flag=1
|
[5] |
Guo Yufu, Yu Yongqiang, Liu Xiying, et al. Simulation of climate change induced by CO2 increasing for East Asia with IAP/LASG model. Adv Atmos Sci, 2001, 18(1) : 53-66 doi: 10.1007/s00376-001-0004-6
|
[6] |
徐影, 丁一汇, 赵宗慈.近30年人类活动对东亚地区气候变化影响的检测与评估.应用气象学报, 2002, 13(5):513-525 http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=20020569&flag=1
|
[7] |
徐影, 丁一汇, 赵宗慈.长江中下游地区21世纪气候变化情景预测.自然灾害学报, 2004, 13(1):25-31 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZRZH200401004.htm
|
[8] |
许吟隆, 薛峰, 林一骅.不同温室气体排放情景下中国21世纪地面气温和降水变化的模拟分析.气候与环境研究, 2003, 8(2):209-217 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200302007.htm
|
[9] |
姜大膀, 王会军, 郎咸梅.SRES A2情景下中国气候未来变化的多模式集合预测结果.地球物理学报, 2004, 47(5):776-784 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQWX200405006.htm
|
[10] |
张英娟, 董文杰, 俞永强, 等.中国西部地区未来气候变化趋势预测.气候与环境研究, 2004, 9(2):342-349 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200402009.htm
|
[11] |
姜允迪.近五十年来我国气候带、季节等对全球变化暖的响应及未来演变趋势研究.北京:中国科学院研究生院, 2005
|
[12] |
石广玉, 郭建东, 樊小标, 等.近百年全球平均气温变化的物理模式研究.科学通报, 1996, 41(18):1681-1684 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXTB199618014.htm
|
[13] |
徐影.人类活动对气候变化影响的数值模拟研究.北京:中国气象科学研究院, 2002
|
[14] |
高学杰, 赵宗慈, 丁一汇, 等.温室效应引起的中国区域气候变化的数值模拟Ⅱ:中国区域气候的可能变化.气象学报, 2003, 61(1):29-37 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB200301003.htm
|
[15] |
许吟隆, 张勇, 林一骅, 等.利用PRECIS分析SRES B2情景下中国区域的气候变化响应.科学通报, 2006, 51(17):2068-2074 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXTB200617016.htm
|
[16] |
IPCC. Climate change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2001
|
[17] |
Giorgi F, Arinucci M, Bates G T. Development of a second-generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part Ⅰ: Boundary-layer and radiative transfer processes. Mon Wea Rev, 1993, 121:2794-2813 doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1993)121<2794:DOASGR>2.0.CO;2
|
[18] |
Giorgi F, Arinucci M, Bates G T. Development of a second-generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part Ⅱ: Convective processes and assimilation of lateral boundary conditions. Mon Wea Rev, 1993, 121:2814-2832 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/259222743_Development_of_a_Second-Generation_Regional_Climate_Model_RegCM2_Part_II_Convective_Processes_and_Assimilation_of_Lateral_Boundary_Conditions
|
[19] |
丁一汇, 钱永甫颜宏, 等.高分辨率区域气候模式的改进及其在东亚持续性暴雨事件模拟中的应用//国家“九五”重中之重项目执行专家组编.短期气候预测业务动力模式的研制[C].北京:气象出版社, 2000.217-231
|
[20] |
Ding Yihui, Liu Yiming, Shi Xueli, et al. Multi-year simulations and experimental seasonal predictions for flooding seasons in China by using a nested regional climate model (RegCM_NCC). Part Ⅱ: The experimental seasonal prediction. Adv Atmos Sci, 2006, 23(4) :487-503 doi: 10.1007/s00376-006-0487-2
|
[21] |
李巧萍, 丁一汇.区域气候模式对东亚季风和中国降水的多年模拟与性能检验.气象学报, 2004, 62(2):140-153 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB200402001.htm
|
[22] |
Li Qiaoping, Ding Yihui, Dong Wenjie, et al. A numerical study on the winter monsoon and cold surge over East Asia. Adv Atmos Sci, 2007, 24(4): 664-678 doi: 10.1007%2Fs00376-007-0664-y
|
[23] |
刘一鸣, 丁一汇, 李清泉.区域气候模式对中国夏季降水的10年回报试验及其评估分析.应用气象学报, 2005, 16(增刊):41-47 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2005S1004.htm
|
[24] |
乔云亭, 陈烈庭, 张庆云.东亚季风指数的定义及其与中国气候的关系.大气科学, 2002, 26(1):69-81 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK200201006.htm
|