The Subtle Weather Forecast of the Highway Traffic During 2008 Beijing Olympic Games

Zhang Deshan; Ding Deping; Mu Qizhan; Zhang Shuli

Vol.20, NO.3, 2009

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2009 > 20(3): 380-384

Zhang Deshan, Ding Deping, Mu Qizhan, et al. The subtle weather forecast of the highway traffic during 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2009, 20(3): 380-384.

Citation:

Zhang Deshan, Ding Deping, Mu Qizhan, et al. The subtle weather forecast of the highway traffic during 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2009, 20(3): 380-384.

Zhang Deshan, Ding Deping, Mu Qizhan, et al. The subtle weather forecast of the highway traffic during 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2009, 20(3): 380-384.

Citation:

Zhang Deshan, Ding Deping, Mu Qizhan, et al. The subtle weather forecast of the highway traffic during 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2009, 20(3): 380-384.

PDF( 627 KB)

The Subtle Weather Forecast of the Highway Traffic During 2008 Beijing Olympic Games

Beijing Weather Science and Technology Service Center, Beijing 100089

Received Date: 2008-09-22
Rev Recd Date: 2009-02-20
Publish Date: 2009-06-30

Abstract

Abstract

During 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, the short-term weather forecast and service for Beijing ring roads and highways is very important for people at home and abroad, and the task is undertaken by Beijing Weather Science and Technology Service Center.Statics analysis is done to check the correlation of observed weather factors of Beijing Observatory Station and 27 automatic weather stations at Beijing traffic section, 9 road surface automatic weather stations included. As a result, 97 simple linear equations are set up with correlation coefficients of each weather factors passing 0.01 level test. The highest air temperature, lowest air temperature, relative humidity correlation coefficients between automatic weather stations and Beijing Observatory Station are 0.9103--0.9884, 0.8777--0.9883, and 0.7499--0.9682. The correlation coefficient between the highest air temperature on freeway and the highest road surface temperature is 0.8502--0.9288. The correlation coefficient between the lowest air temperature and the lowest road surface temperature is 0.9171--0.9851.All linear equations are integrated into the Traffic Weather Forecast Platform, which could generate 5 short-term spatial subtle weather forecast products of the Second Ring Road, the Third Ring Road, the Fourth Ring Road, the Fifth Ring Road in 4 directions and 5 freeways as well. So the efficiency is greatly improved. These forecast products are published by newspaper, broadcast and 121 weather telephone service. During 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, based on short-term forecast products of Beijing Meteorological Observatory and the linear regression equation, objective weather forecast products of highway section are produced and applied in service.
- automatic weather station;
- traffic weather;
- forecast

FullText(HTML)

References(16)

Figures and Tables

图 1 北京奥运交通气象服务路线分布图

Fig. 1 The distribution of meteorological service route for Beijing Olympic traffic

DownLoad: Full-Size Img PowerPoint

表 1 北京奥运交通路段名称和对应的自动气象站一览表

Table 1 The schedule of the traffic section names of Beijing Olympic and the corresponding automatic weather stations

表 2 北京奥运交通路段自动气象站气象要索的回归拟合率一览表（单位：%)

Table 2 The schedule of regression fitting rate of meteorological elements of Beijing Olympic traffic section automatic weather station (unit:%)

表 3 2008年8月1-24日奧运交通路段预报质呈考核一览表（单位：%）

Table 3 The schedule of the evaluation of weather forcast for Beijing Olympic traffic section during Aug 1-24, 2008(unit:%)

References

[1]	朱燕君, 陈峪, 李庆祥, 等.北京奥运会期间的气象条件分析.应用气象学报, 2006, 17(增刊):35-41 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2006S1004.htm
[2]	丁德平, 王春华, 李迅, 等.北京奥运会期间极端天气的气候统计分析.气象, 2008, 34(7):61-67 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200807010.htm
[3]	李庆祥, 朱燕君, 熊安元.北京等6城市奥运期间不利天气的概率统计.应用气象学报, 2006, 17(增刊):42-47 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2006S1005.htm
[4]	张德山, 邓长菊, 李世明.北京“三伏时节”气候特征分析.气象科技, 2008, 36(6):768-771 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXKJ200806019.htm
[5]	窦以文, 张德山, 刘旭林, 等.北京奥运赛期温、湿、风、云、雨的气候信息分析.气候与环境研究, 2007, 12(4):580-586 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200704014.htm
[6]	中国气象局.地面气象观测规范[M].北京:气象出版社, 1979.
[7]	郑祚芳, 范水勇, 王迎春.城市热岛效应对北京夏季高温的影响.应用气象学报, 2006, 17(增刊):48-52 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2006S1006.htm
[8]	洪光, 徐晓亮.青岛奥帆赛期间天气气候背景分析.应用气象学报, 2006, 17(增刊):54-58 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2006S1007.htm
[9]	屠其璞, 王俊德, 丁裕国, 等.气象应用概率统计学.北京:气象出版社, 1988.130-133.
[10]	张德山, 窦以文, 白刚, 等.日较差分级的北京地面逐时气温预报.气象, 1995, 25(5):54-57 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX905.011.htm
[11]	张德山, 魏建明, 陈廷良, 等.首都机场高速公路能见度预报方法.气象科技, 2002, 31(6):358-361 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXKJ200206008.htm
[12]	徐晓峰, 赵习芳, 张小玲, 等.北京空气污染预报业务系统.气象, 2005, 31(1):63-66 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXX200501013.htm
[13]	于淑秋, 林学椿, 徐祥德.北京市区大气污染的时空特征.应用气象学报, 2002, 13(特刊):177-184 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-YYQX2002S1009.htm
[14]	刘大锰, 黄杰, 高少鹏, 等.北京市区春季交通源大气颗粒物污染水平及其影响因素.地学前缘, 2006, 13(2):228-233 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DXQY200602026.htm
[15]	宋宇, 唐孝炎, 方晨, 等.北京市能见度下降与颗粒物污染的关系.环境科学学报, 2003, 23(4):468-471 http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HJXX200304010.htm
[16]	王瑞斌, 王明霞, 安华.我国环境空气质量标准与国外相应标准的比较.环境科学研究, 1997, 10(6):35-39. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-HJKX706.007.htm