Zhou Guohua, Wang Panxing, Luo Xiaoli, et al. Characteristics of surface air temperature anomalies in China based on observations at 160 stations. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2011, 22(3): 283-291.
Citation: Zhou Guohua, Wang Panxing, Luo Xiaoli, et al. Characteristics of surface air temperature anomalies in China based on observations at 160 stations. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2011, 22(3): 283-291.

Characteristics of Surface Air Temperature Anomalies in China Based on Observations at 160 Stations

  • Received Date: 2010-07-09
  • Rev Recd Date: 2011-03-29
  • Publish Date: 2011-06-30
  • Three basic characteristics of seasonal and annual surface air temperature anomalies are analyzed by use of 160-station homogeneity adjustment scheme of China (Wang Panxing, et al, 2011) and conventional statistic methods.Anomalies in winter are the largest among the four seasons, occupying 47.7% of the total variance. Three north districts (namely Northwest China, North China and Northeast China) and the Tibetan Plateau are high variability regions in winter, with three north regions and the middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River for summer.The variance contribution of the linear warming of seasonal and annual anomaly is significant, and there are distinct differences between winter and summer. Significant annual and winter linear warming occurs in Northeast China, North China, northwest of Xinjiang and southwest of Tibetan Plateau. Weak linear cooling is observed for several stations of central and South China. The significant warming in summer is mainly located in the north of Northeast China, north of North China and Tibetan Plateau, but the range and strength are obviously less than those in winter. There is a large range cooling zone in the northwest and southeastern in summer.The variance contribution of interdecadal changes for annual, winter and summer anomalies is significant, and there are obvious differences between winter and summer. The significant interdecadal changes for annual surface air temperature in three north regions, most part of Tibetan Plateau, central China and part of East China are related to winter, while the southeast coastal areas is related to summer.Annual and seasonal mean surface air temperature calculated by network homogeneity adjustment in China is reasonable. The linear warming tendency for the national annual temperature is 1.4℃/58 a, with the maximum of 2.3℃/58 a for winter and the minimum of 0.6℃/58 a for the summer. The interdecadal changes of summer surface air temperature persists positive since the middle 1990s, while for winter and the whole year, stable warming has begun since the middle 1980s.
  • Fig. 1  The climatic values of surface air temperature for China from 1951 to 2008(unit: ℃)

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Fig. 2  Same as in Fig. 1, but for mean square deviation of surface air temperature (unit:℃)

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Fig. 3  Variance contribution of seasonal to annual surface air temperature (unit: %) of China from 1951 to 2008 (a) winter, (b) summer

    Fig. 4  Same as in Fig. 1, but for variance contribution of the linear warming (unit: %)

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Fig. 5  Linear warming of China from 1951 to 2008(unit: ℃/58 a)

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Fig. 6  The evolution curves of mean surface air temperature anomalies of China from 1951 to 2008

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Fig. 7  Same as in Fig. 5, but for the interdecadal variance contribution (unit: %)

    (a) annual, (b) winter, (c) summer

    Table  1  Seasonal and annual mean surface air temperature Tk, and their climatic variability σk, from 1951 to 2008 (unit: ℃)

    时段 Tk σk
    10.7 10.4 0.70 0.71
    冬季 -2.9 -3.2 1.45 1.50
    春季 11.9 11.5 1.02 1.03
    夏季 22.6 22.5 0.74 0.74
    秋季 11.0 10.9 0.89 0.90
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  2  The mean of total variance, seasonal variance and ρk from 1951 to 2008

    时段 方差/℃2 ρk/%
    4.8
    冬季 2.3 47.7
    春季 1.1 23.4
    夏季 0.6 11.7
    秋季 0.8 17.2
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  3  The mean of season variance Sk, linear trend variance lSk and lρk of surface air temperature from 1951 to 2008

    时段 Sk/℃2 lSk/℃2 lρk/%
    0.53 0.21 39.4*
    冬季 2.31 0.55 23.7*
    春季 1.13 0.25 22.2*
    夏季 0.57 0.08 14.8*
    秋季 0.84 0.17 20.6*
    注:*为通过α=0.01显著性检验,F0.01(1, 56)=7.13。
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  4  Magnitudes of national mean surface air temperature change (unit:℃)

    时段 ΔTk(58) ΔTk(54) Δ
    1.4 1.1 1.3
    冬季 2.3 2.2 2.1
    春季 1.5 1.1 1.5
    夏季 0.6 0.3 0.8
    秋季 1.2 0.9 1.1
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  5  The mean of interdecadal changes variance sSk and sρk from 1951 to 2008

    时段 sSk/℃2 sρk/%
    0.31 59.3*
    冬季 0.97 41.9*
    春季 0.45 39.3
    夏季 0.25 43.6*
    秋季 0.33 40.0
    注:*为通过α=0.01显著性检验,F0.01(12,45)=2.62。
    DownLoad: Download CSV
  • [1]
    Solomon S, Qin Dahe, Manning M, et al. The Physical Science Basis. Climate Change 2007: IPCC WG1 AR4 Report. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
    [2]
    唐国利, 丁一汇, 王绍武, 等.中国近百年温度曲线的对比分析.气候变化研究进展, 2009, 5(2): 71-78. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHBH200902003.htm
    [3]
    任国玉, 徐铭志, 初子莹, 等.近54年中国地面气温变化.气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 717-727. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200504002.htm
    [4]
    陈隆勋, 邵永宁, 张清芬, 等.近四十年我国气候变化的初步分析.应用气象学报, 1991, 2(2):164-174. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19910215&flag=1
    [5]
    [6]
    丁一汇, 戴晓苏.中国近百年来的温度变化.气象, 1994, 20(12): 19-26. doi:  10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1994.12.008
    [7]
    左洪超, 吕世华, 胡隐樵.中国近50年气温及降水量的变化趋势分析.高原气象, 2004, 23(2): 238-244. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GYQX200402017.htm
    [8]
    任国玉, 郭军, 徐铭志, 等.近50年中国地面气候变化基本特征.气象学报, 2005, 63(6): 942-956. doi:  10.11676/qxxb2005.090
    [9]
    任国玉, 初子莹, 周雅清, 等.中国气温变化研究最新进展.气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 701-716. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200504001.htm
    [10]
    唐国利, 任国玉.近百年来我国地表气温变化的再分析.气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 791-798. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200504010.htm
    [11]
    张晶晶, 陈爽, 赵昕奕.近50年中国气温变化的区域差异及其与全球气候变化的联系.干旱区资源与环境, 2006, 20(4): 1-6. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-GHZH200604000.htm
    [12]
    王劲松, 费晓玲, 魏锋.中国西北近50a来气温变化特征的进一步研究.中国沙漠, 2008, 28(4): 724-732. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGSS200804021.htm
    [13]
    陈少勇, 郭忠祥, 高蓉, 等.我国东部季风区冬季气温的气候变暖特征.应用气象学报, 2009, 20(4): 479-485. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=200904013&flag=1
    [14]
    于淑秋, 林学椿, 徐祥德.中国气温的年代际振荡及其未来趋势.气象科技, 2003, 31(3): 136-139. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXKJ200303001.htm
    [15]
    周晓霞, 王盘兴, 段明铿, 等.我国季平均气温和降水局地同时相关的时空特征.应用气象学报, 2007, 18(5): 601-609. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20070515
    [16]
    王永光, 龚振淞, 许力, 等.中国温度、降水的长期气候趋势及其影响因子分析.应用气象学报, 2005, 16(增刊):85-91. http://kns.cnki.net/KCMS/detail/detail.aspx?dbcode=CJFQ&dbname=CJFD2005&filename=YYQX2005S1010&v=MDA4MTBoMVQzcVRyV00xRnJDVVJMMmZZdWRxRmlIbVViM1BQRFRhZHJHNEh0U3ZybzlFWklSOGVYMUx1eFlTN0Q=
    [17]
    赵宗慈, 王绍武, 徐影, 等.近百年我国地表气温趋势变化的可能原因.气候与环境研究, 2005, 10(4): 808-817. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QHYH200504012.htm
    [18]
    李庆祥, 董文杰, 李伟, 等.近百年中国气温变化中的不确定性估计.科学通报, 2010, 55(16): 1544-1554. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-KXTB201016005.htm
    [19]
    王盘兴, 罗小莉, 李丽平, 等.中国气候资料站网均匀化订正的一种方案及应用.大气科学学报, 2011, 34(1):8-13. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-NJQX201101003.htm
    [20]
    黄嘉佑.气象统计分析与预报方法.北京:气象出版社, 1989:19-35.
    [21]
    Li Liping, Wang Panxing, Li Hong. Interdecadal and interannual variabilities of air and sea and their relations over the Pacific. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2004, 18(2): 227-244.
    [22]
    丁裕国, 江志红.非均匀站网EOFs展开的失真性及其修正.气象学报, 1995, 53(2): 247-253. doi:  10.11676/qxxb1995.029
    [23]
    周晓霞, 王盘兴, 祝昌汉, 等.全球海温异常年代际分量的方差贡献及其与中国气候异常的相关.应用气象学报, 2005, 16(1):96-104. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20050113
  • 加载中
  • -->

Catalog

    Figures(7)  / Tables(5)

    Article views (2976) PDF downloads(1332) Cited by()
    • Received : 2010-07-09
    • Accepted : 2011-03-29
    • Published : 2011-06-30

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint