May—July Temperature Variability Since 1801 Inferred from Tree Rings of Pinus tabulaeformis of Helan Mountains in China

Chen Feng; Yuan Yujiang; Wei Wenshou; Zhang Tongwen; Zhang Ruibo; Yu Shulong; Fan Ziang; Li Yang; Shang Huaming

Vol.22, NO.4, 2011

Article Contents

Article Navigation > Journal of Applied Meteorological Science > 2011 > 22(4): 463-471

Chen Feng, Yuan Yujiang, Wei Wenshou, et al. May—July temperature variability since 1801 inferred from tree rings of Pinus tabulaeformis of Helan Mountains in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2011, 22(4): 463-471.

Citation:

Chen Feng, Yuan Yujiang, Wei Wenshou, et al. May—July temperature variability since 1801 inferred from tree rings of Pinus tabulaeformis of Helan Mountains in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2011, 22(4): 463-471.

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May—July Temperature Variability Since 1801 Inferred from Tree Rings of Pinus tabulaeformis of Helan Mountains in China

Institute of Desert Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration, Key Laboratory of Tree-ring Physical and Chemical Research of China Meteorological Administration, Xinjiang Laboratory of Tree Ring Ecology, Urumqi 830002

Received Date: 2010-06-17
Rev Recd Date: 2011-04-15
Publish Date: 2011-08-31

Abstract

Abstract

Ninety newly measured tree-ring width and density series from Chinese Pines (Pinus tabulaeformis) from four sites in Helan Mountains are compiled. To remove non-climatic, age-related growth trends from the raw tree-ring width and density measurement series, while allowing lower frequency information above the mean segment length to be preserved, the program ARSTAN is used to detrend the ring width and density sequences using hugershoff growth curve and to average the standardized ring width and density sequences into the master chronologies. The correlating coefficient between earlywood density record and May—July maximum temperature of Yinchuan reaches up to 0.67 during 1951—2008. The May—July maximum temperature reconstruction (1801—2008) uses the earlywood density chronologies from the region. The explained variance of model is 44.9% (F=45.625, P < 0.0001). The mean temperature over the 1801—2008 periods is estimated to be 27.4 ℃. The reconstructed temperature has 3 warm periods, including 1801—1812, 1940—1953, and 1994—2008. The rising of temperature series in the 2000s is the fastest and indicates that temperature in the 2000s has been warmer than any other period since 1801. The reconstructed temperature during the last 208a has significant period cycles of 120 years (95%), 8.1 years (95%), 6.5 years (90%), 3.2 years (95%), 2.9 years (95%), and 2.1 years (99%). Many low density values are forced by volcanic eruptions. Comparison shows volcanic eruptions have no systematic relationship with this reconstruction data, but they are correlated with the regional characteristics of the temperature and forcing data. Detailed analysis, however, suggests a cooling of several years following primarily tropical events with a volcanic eruption index (VEI). Examples include Tambora in Indonesia (1815), Cosiguina in Nicaragua (1935), Chikurachki in Kurilels (1853), Sheveluch in Kamchatka (1854), Krakatu in Java (1883), Okataina in New Zealand (1886), Santa Maria in Guatemala (1902), Ksudach in Kamchatka (1907), Katmai in Alaska (1912), Bezymianny in Kamchatka (1956), Agung in Indonesia (1963), St Helens in US (1980), El Chichon in Mexico (1982), and Pinatubo in Philippines (1991). The mean of 28 low values after volcanic eruption in reconstructed temperature series is 26.9℃, which is 0.5℃ lower than the average over the 1801—2008. The earlywood density of Helan Mountains has good relations with the earlywood densities of Shimen Mountains and Changling Mountains in Gansu.
- Helan Mountains;
- tree-ring;
- Chinese Pine;
- mean earlywood density;
- May—July temperature

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References(45)

Figures and Tables

Fig. 1 Distribution of tree ring sites and weather stations

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Fig. 2 Correlations of tree-ring date with Yinchuan monthly mean maximum temperature records

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Fig. 3 Comparison of recorded and estimated temperature for common period from 1951 to 2008

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Fig. 4 Comparison between unfiltered and 10-year low-pass filtered May—July maximum temperature in the north part of Helan Mountains

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Fig. 5 Wavelet analysis of the reconstructed series in the north part of Helan Mountains

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Table 1 Survey of the sampled sites of tree rings

采样点	树种	海拔/m	坡向	坡度/(°)	纬度	经度	样本量
苏裕口	油松	2260~2320	EEN	25~45	38°44′N	105°55′E	44
北寺	油松	2205~2210	NNW	25~30	38°58′N	105°55′E	52
大西沟	油松	2100	NNE	35	38°59′N	105°57′E	44
南寺	油松	2240~2280	EEN	19~25	38°41′N	105°50′E	40

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Table 2 Tree-ring residual chronologies statistics in the north part of Helan Mountains

年表名称	平均敏感度	标准差	相关性	信噪比	样本总解释量	第1特征向量百分比/%	一阶自相关系数
年轮宽度	0.322	0.349	0.359	8.946	0.899	42.7	0.29
早材宽度	0.364	0.386	0.367	9.286	0.903	43.6	0.27
晚材宽度	0.282	0.301	0.196	3.903	0.796	29.7	0.27
早材平均密度	0.046	0.047	0.255	5.479	0.846	33.1	0.06
晚材平均密度	0.049	0.058	0.223	4.591	0.821	30.7	0.34
早材最小密度	0.058	0.056	0.252	5.379	0.843	32.0	-0.06
晚材最大密度	0.055	0.062	0.238	4.987	0.833	32.0	0.29

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Table 3 Summary of the significant response function coefficients

气象要素	树轮密度	1月	2月	3月	4月	5月	6月	7月	8月	9月	10月
平均温度	早材平均密度			○			Ο	Ο
	晚材平均密度
	早材最小密度			○			Ο	Ο
	晚材最大密度
平均最高温度	早材平均密度			Ο		Ο	Ο	Ο
	晚材平均密度
	早材最小密度			Ο		Ο	Ο	Ο
	晚材最大密度
平均最低温度	早材平均密度							○
	晚材平均密度					○
	早材最小密度							○
	晚材最大密度					○
降水量	早材平均密度					●	●
	晚材平均密度					○
	早材最小密度					●	●
	晚材最大密度					Ο	Ο
注：Ο与○表示正相关，●表示负相关；Ο与●表示超过0.01显著性水平，○表示超过0.05显著性水平。

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Table 4 Summary characteristics of temperature reconstruction in the north part of Helan Mountains

年份	冷年值/℃
2002	26.50
1992	26.60
1983	26.70
1964	26.80
1970	26.80
1977	26.80
1979	26.80
1884	26.80
1895	26.80
1921	26.80
2008	29.30
1947	28.90
1994	28.60
1953	28.50
1804	28.40
2005	28.40
1811	28.30
1890	28.30
1957	28.30
1997	28.30
1970	27.20
1980	27.20
1960	27.28
1880	27.29
1830	27.34
1930	27.35
1820	27.36
1870	27.37
1840	27.38
1910	27.39
2000	27.88
1800	27.66
1950	27.64
1990	27.57
1890	27.56
1940	27.56
1810	27.53
1850	27.45
1900	27.44
1860	27.43
1810-1899	27.43
1900-2008	27.44
2000-2008	27.90
1801-2008	27.40

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Table 5 The temperature reconstruction and volcanic eruptions

火山爆发	重建序列对应低温年份	距平值/℃
Tambora (1815年)	1816—1818	-0.4
Cosiguina (1835年)	1834—1835	-0.4
Chikurachki (1853年)， Sheveluch (1854)	1853—1854	-0.3
Krakatu (1883年)， Okataina (1886年)	1884—1888	-0.5
Santa Maria (1902年)	1902	-0.4
Ksudach (1907年)， Katmai (1912年)	1908—1913	-0.4
Bezymianny (1956年)	1956	-0.7
Agung (1963年)	1963—1964	-0.7
St Helens (1980年)	1979—1980	-0.6
El Chichon (1982年)	1983—1985	-0.7
Pinatubo (1991年)	1992	-1.0

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