Liu Yulian, Ren Guoyu, Yu Hongmin, et al. Climatic characteristics of intense snowfall in China with its variation. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2013, 24(3): 304-313.
Citation: Liu Yulian, Ren Guoyu, Yu Hongmin, et al. Climatic characteristics of intense snowfall in China with its variation. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2013, 24(3): 304-313.

Climatic Characteristics of Intense Snowfall in China with Its Variation

  • Received Date: 2012-09-21
  • Rev Recd Date: 2013-03-18
  • Publish Date: 2013-06-30
  • Based on daily ground snowfall observations of national meteorological stations, climatic zonation is carried out according to the snowfall variability with the REOF method to the north of 25°N in China. The main climatic characteristics and variation of intense snowfall events in different climate zones are analyzed, including the spacial distribution difference, the changing characteristics of intense snowfall and the number of snow days of the month, ten-day, spatial changes and temporal evolutions in the trend of intense snowfall, the number of snow days and intensity, and the climate change trends of the 1961—2008 and 1981—2008 (considering climate warming) are calculated, respectively.It shows that the east of Tibet Plateau, Xinjiang and the north of Northeast China have the highest amount and frequency of intense snowfall. The maximum intense snow intensity centers in Yunnan. The percentage of intense snow days to total snowfall days is generally low in North China, followed by the north of Northeast China and Xinjiang, and the largest percentage occurs in the Huang-Huai River Areas. In the north of Northeast China, North China, Northwest China and the east of Tibet Plateau, the high-frequency periods of intense snow events are generally in spring and early winter. It comes to mid-winter in Xinjiang, and to late winter in the Huang-Huai River Areas. In the north of Northeast China, Xinjiang and the east of Tibet Plateau, the intense snowfall and snow days obviously increased over the last 48 years. With climate warming, the intense snowfall and snow days increase, and meanwhile the intense snow intensity strengthens in most regions of China.Due to the snowfall measurement error, the estimation results of the mean intense snowfall and snow intensity in the north of China may be low, in the spring, the mean wind speed is strong, and the intense snowfall and snow intensity estimation is lower. Because the wind speed near the ground is in decreasing trend, the analysis of climate change on intense snowfall and snow intensity may be that the increasing trend is overestimated, while the decreasing trend is underestimated. The snowfall measurement error change caused by the average wind speed decreasing mainly affects the analysis of intense snowfall events of climate change, while has few impacts on the research of climatic characteristics.
  • Fig. 1  The distribution of meteorological stations and snowfall regionalization

    Fig. 2  The distributions of annual intense snowfall (unit:mm) (a), the number of intense snow days (unit:d) (b) and intense snow intensity (unit:mm·d-1) (c)

    Fig. 3  The changes of ten-day average intense snowfall (dashed line) and the number of intense snow days (solid line) in different regions from 1971 to 2000

    Fig. 4  Spatial distribution of the intense snowfall (a), the number of intense snow days (b), intense snow intensity (c) change trends during 1961—2008, and the intense snowfall (d), the number of intense snow days (e), intense snow intensity (f) change trends during 1981—2008

    Table  1  Definition of indices of snowfall and intense snowfall used in this paper

    指标 定义
    降雪年 从当年7月1日至下一年6月30日
    雪季 降雪年内第1日和最后1日出现固态降水天气现象的时间间隔 (单位:d)
    年降雪量 降雪年内降雪量总和
    强降雪日数和强降雪量 雪季内日 (24 h) 降雪量超过气候基准期内80%分位值的总降雪日数 (单位:d) 和总降雪量 (单位:mm)
    强降雪强度 雪季内强降雪量与强降雪日数的比值 (单位:mm·d-1)
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  2  Accamulated intense snowfall amounts and the number of intense snowfall days in different sub-regions from 1971 to 2000

    地区 强降雪量/mm 强降雪日数/d
    东北北部 316.9 50.43
    华北 221.2 31.57
    黄淮 221.9 26.58
    西北 149.2 28.15
    新疆 321.1 48.89
    青藏高原东部 511.7 70.79
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  3  Monthly mean intense snowfall in different regions (unit: mm)

    月份 东北北部 华北地区 黄淮地区 西北地区 新疆 青藏高原东部
    7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
    8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.1
    9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5 19.0
    10 61.5 14.1 4.1 20.3 20.0 79.0
    11 67.4 46.8 27.4 19.3 63.3 37.3
    12 35.0 31.9 32.7 4.7 76.2 16.8
    1 16.2 34.7 48.0 5.5 51.7 23.4
    2 17.9 31.6 46.2 10.0 53.4 47.9
    3 79.9 45.4 51.5 39.0 40.2 105.8
    4 35.5 15.2 10.6 33.5 14.7 94.8
    5 2.8 1.3 1.3 15.2 1.2 64.9
    6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 18.0
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  4  The number of monthly mean intense snow days in different regions (unit: d)

    月份 东北北部 华北地区 黄淮地区 西北地区 新疆 青藏高原东部
    7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50
    8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.32
    9 0.10 0.03 0.00 0.15 0.11 3.14
    10 8.07 1.77 0.60 3.85 3.00 9.93
    11 11.43 6.55 3.23 3.95 9.68 4.57
    12 5.83 4.72 4.09 1.15 11.84 2.61
    1 2.73 4.91 5.53 1.35 8.21 3.68
    2 3.33 4.49 5.63 2.35 7.74 6.93
    3 13.03 6.92 6.02 7.35 6.26 13.40
    4 5.40 2.01 1.32 5.90 1.84 13.00
    5 0.50 0.17 0.14 2.00 0.21 9.93
    6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 2.79
    DownLoad: Download CSV

    Table  5  Comparison of annual mean intense snowfall amounts, the number of intense snow days and intense snow intensity between 1981—2008 and 1961—1980 for different sub-regions

    要素 时段 东北北部 华北 黄淮 西北 新疆 青藏高原东部
    强降雪量/mm 1961—1980年 9.5 7.8 7.0 4.3 9.1 13.0
    1981—2008年 10.9 7.3 7.3 5.0 11.3 17.1
    强降雪日数/d 1961—1980年 1.48 1.06 0.86 0.86 1.42 1.84
    1981—2008年 1.73 1.01 0.87 0.96 1.72 2.35
    强降雪强度/(mm·d-1) 1961—1980年 6.4 7.4 8.1 5.0 6.4 7.1
    1981—2008年 6.3 7.2 8.4 5.2 6.6 7.3
    DownLoad: Download CSV
  • [1]
    Groisman P, Kerl T, Easterling D, et al. Changes in the probability of extreme precipitation important indicators of climate change.Climatic Change, 1999, 42:243-283. doi:  10.1023/A:1005432803188
    [2]
    Obasi G O P.Reducing Vulnerability to Weather and Climate Extremes.Information and Public Affairs Office, WMO, 2002. http://en.cnki.com.cn/Article_en/CJFDTOTAL-ZKJJ200205009.htm
    [3]
    IPCC.Climate Change 2007:The Physical Science Basis.Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007. https://www.amazon.com/Climate-Change-2007-Contribution-Assessment/dp/0521705967
    [4]
    秦大河.中国西部环境演变评估:中国西部环境演变评估综合报告.北京:科学出版社, 2002. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SYQY201603027.htm
    [5]
    翟盘茂, 潘晓华.中国北方近50年温度和降水极端事件变化.地理学报, 2003, 58(增刊):1-10. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLXB2003S1000.htm
    [6]
    刘海文, 丁一汇.华北夏季降水的年代际变化.应用气象学报, 2011, 22(2):129-137. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20110201
    [7]
    裴浩, 郝璐, 韩经纬.近40年内蒙古候降水变化趋势.应用气象学报, 2012, 23(5):543-550. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20120504
    [8]
    魏维, 张人禾, 温敏.南亚高压的南北偏移与我国夏季降水的关系.应用气象学报, 2012, 23(6):650-659. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20120602
    [9]
    孙娴, 魏娜, 肖科丽.陕西秋季降水变化特征.应用气象学报, 2010, 21(3):360-365. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20100312
    [10]
    陈波, 史瑞琴, 陈正洪.近45年华中地区不同级别强降水事件变化趋势.应用气象学报, 2010, 21(1):47-54. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20100106
    [11]
    张天宇, 程炳岩, 刘晓冉.近45年长江中下流地区汛期极端强降水事件分析.气象, 2007, 33(1):80-87. doi:  10.11898/1001-7313.20070114
    [12]
    杨金虎, 江志红, 王鹏祥, 等.中国西北极端降水事件年内非均匀性特征分析.中国沙漠, 2008, 28(1):178-184. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-ZGSS200801029.htm
    [13]
    仪清菊, 刘延英, 许晨海.北京1980—1994年降雪的天气气候分析.应用气象学报, 1999, 10(2):249-254. http://qikan.camscma.cn/jams/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=19990253&flag=1
    [14]
    江毅, 钱维宏.内蒙古大 (暴) 雪的区域特征.地理学报, 2003, 58(增刊):38-48. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLXB2003S1004.htm
    [15]
    杨莲梅, 杨涛, 贾丽红, 等.新疆大~暴雪气候特征及其水汽分析.冰川冻土, 2005, 27(3):389-396. http://cpfd.cnki.com.cn/Article/CPFDTOTAL-ZGQX200400002667.htm
    [16]
    臧海佳.近52年我国各强度降雪的时空分布特征.安徽农业科学, 2009, 37(13):6064-6066. doi:  10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2009.13.108
    [17]
    邹进上, 曹彩珠.青藏高原降雪的气候学分析.大气科学, 1989, 13(4):400-409. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK198904002.htm
    [18]
    韦志刚, 黄荣辉, 陈文.青藏高原地面站积雪的空间分布和年代际变化特征.大气科学, 2002, 26(4):496-508. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DQXK200204006.htm
    [19]
    丁永红, 冯建民, 赵蔚, 等.1961—2009年宁夏大到暴雪气候特征和变化规律.冰川冻土, 2011, 33(6):1399-1406. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-BCDT201106023.htm
    [20]
    杨秀春, 曹云刚, 徐斌, 等.我国北方草原区积雪遥感监测.地理研究, 2008, 27(5):1109-1117. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLYJ200805016.htm
    [21]
    黄嘉佑.转动主分量分析在天气气候分析中的应用.气象, 1988, 14(9):47-51. doi:  10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.1988.09.013
    [22]
    魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断预测技术 (第2版).北京:气象出版社, 2007:105-125. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SYQY201603027.htm
    [23]
    刘玉莲, 任国玉, 于宏敏.中国降雪气候学特征.地理科学, 2012, 32(10):1176-1185. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-DLKX201210004.htm
    [24]
    Manton M J, Della-Marta P, Haylock M, et al.Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in southeast Asia and the South Pacific:1961—1998.IntJClimatol, 2001, 21:269-284. doi:  10.1002/joc.610/abstract
    [25]
    Frich P, Alexander L V, Della-Marta P, et al.Observev coherent changes in climatic during the second half of the Twentieth century.Climate Res, 2002, 19:193-212. doi:  10.3354/cr019193
    [26]
    Jones P D, Hulme M.Calculating regional climatic time series for temperature and precipitation:Methodsand illustrations.Int J Climatol, 1996, 16:361-377. doi:  10.1002/(ISSN)1097-0088
    [27]
    Sevruk B.Correction of Precipitation Measurements:SummaryReport.Instrument & Observing Methods Reports, No.25, WMO, 1985. doi:  10.1175/2009JHM1099.1
    [28]
    WMO.Insternational Organizing Committee for WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement intercomparison, Final Report. 1985. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169413008184
    [29]
    杨大庆, 施雅风, 康尔泗, 等.天山乌鲁木齐河流域雨量器对比观测降水实验结果分析.水文, 1991(3):26-32. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SWZZ199103008.htm
    [30]
    李艳, 王元, 汤剑平.中国近地层风能资源的时空变化特征.南京大学学报:自然科学版, 2007, 43(3):280-291. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-NJDZ200703005.htm
    [31]
    任国玉, 郭军, 徐铭志, 等.近50年中国地面气候变化基本特征.气象学报, 2005, 63(6):948-952. http://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QXXB200506010.htm
    [32]
    Jiang Y, Luo Y, Zhao Z, et al.Changes in wind speed over China during 1956—2004.Theor Appl Climatol, 2010, 99:421-430. doi:  10.1007/s00704-009-0152-7
    [33]
    孙秀宝, 任国玉, 任芝花, 等.风场变形误差对冬季降雪测量及其趋势估算的影响.气候与环境研究, 2013, 18(2):178-196. doi:  10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2012.11133
  • 加载中
  • -->

Catalog

    Figures(4)  / Tables(5)

    Article views (3075) PDF downloads(2054) Cited by()
    • Received : 2012-09-21
    • Accepted : 2013-03-18
    • Published : 2013-06-30

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint