Song Lianchun, Xiao Fengjin, Li Wei. The current status and future development of modern climate operation in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2013, 24(5): 513-520.
Citation: Song Lianchun, Xiao Fengjin, Li Wei. The current status and future development of modern climate operation in China. J Appl Meteor Sci, 2013, 24(5): 513-520.

The Current Status and Future Development of Modern Climate Operation in China

  • Received Date: 2013-04-08
  • Rev Recd Date: 2013-06-18
  • Publish Date: 2013-10-31
  • The current situation of modern climate operation in China is summarized, based on reviewing different aspects which include climate system monitoring and prediction, the climate system model, climatic assessment and disaster risk management, climate change and climate operation platform. The concept of modern climate operation is proposed, aiming at improvement of climate service, climate risk management and climate change adaptation. Its core is to develop objective prediction skill and quantified assessment method based on climate system monitoring and dynamics diagnosis. The future development of international climate operation and the deficiency of China modern climate operation are also analyzed. The implementation plan of modern climate operation in China is described clearly, including strengthening the monitoring of essential climatic variables, increasing resolution and improving physical processes in the climate system model, developing the second generation of short-term climate prediction system, seeking the assessment method of meteorological disaster and building China framework of climate service (CFCS).
  • Fig. 1  The framework of modern climate operation in China

    Fig. 2  The prediction score for China summer precipitation from 1978 to 2012

    Fig. 3  Observation (a) and FODAS prediction (b) of China summer precipitation in 2012

    Fig. 4  Global framework for climate service

    Fig. 5  The process of China framework of climate service

    Table  1  The processes for climate system models in China National Climate Center

    发展阶段 时间 模式名称 模式组成
    阶段Ⅰ 1995—2004年 海气耦合模式
    BCC_CM1.0
    BCC_AGCM1.0(T63)
    NCC/LASG OGCM (T63)
    阶段Ⅱ 2005—2008年 气候系统模式1.0版本
    BCC_CSM1.0
    BCC_AGCM2.0(T42)
    CLM3(T42)

    2005—2009年 气候系统模式1.1版本
    BCC_CSM1.1
    BCC_AGCM2.1(T42)
    BCC_AVIM1.0(T42)
    2005—2010年 气候系统模式1.2版本
    BCC_CSM1.2
    BCC_AGCM2.2(T106)
    BCC_AVIM1.0(T106)

    阶段Ⅲ 2011—2015年 高分辨率气候系统模式
    BCC_CSM2.0
    BCC_AGCM3(T266)
    BCC_AVIM1.0(T266)

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    • Received : 2013-04-08
    • Accepted : 2013-06-18
    • Published : 2013-10-31

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